How many of those bikers in Sturgis will come

[doc03]

down with COVID this week? They are tough guys no helmets no masks, Trump may lose a lot of his bikers.

[SheltieLover]

1. 📣Karma, clean up in sturgis STAT, Please

🤞🤞🤞🤞🤞

[J_William_Ryan]

2. Worse,

Trump’s bikers will infect and kill other innocent people.

[MustLoveBeagles]

4. +1

[GoCubsGo]

27. They'll also take ICU beds away from people who need them for other illnesses or injuries.

[mnmoderatedem]

32. they come from all over the country

they will contract the virus, go back home, and spread it around to wherever they rolled in from

[PoindexterOglethorpe]

3. Not enough of them.

[smirkymonkey]

19. +1000

And not enough of them will die in order for them to have learned a lesson. They will continue to be selfish and ignorant until they are all in the grave.

[fescuerescue]

29. Hopefully none

Because they will come back to their homes and spread it to others. Maybe me. Maybe you.

But our wishes are just that. I believe we vastly overestimate the power of our wishes. Especially those who aren't even close to our sphere of influence.

[tinrobot]

5. They're more likely to come down with it next week.

When they go home.

[SlogginThroughIt]

6. And they are returning to all parts of the country.

[Lars39]

7. All along the routes to every one of their homes,

those who have the virus will spread it at rest stops, gas stations, restaurants, motels, and stores.

[Thunderbeast]

8. If you ever wanted to own a used Harley....

....There will be a lot of them available this fall at estate sales.

[Initech]

9. If they're expecting 250,000 and there's a 7% transmissable rate...

We're looking at 17,000 cases and 892 deaths. And that's just of the people who attend. Who knows how many will get it second hand. God help us.

[Celerity]

21. your maths are off. Number one, COVID-19 has nowhere near a 5.25% lethality rate, which is what

your positing assumes.

Actual Covid-19 case count could be 6 to 24 times higher than official estimates, CDC study shows

https://www.statnews.com/2020/07/21/cdc-study-actual-covid-19-cases/

The true number of coronavirus cases in the U.S. could be anywhere from six to 24 times higher than the confirmed number of cases, depending on location, according to a large federal study that relied on data from 10 U.S. cities and states.

The vast majority of Americans, however, are still vulnerable to Covid-19.

The study, published Tuesday in JAMA Internal Medicine, relied on serological tests — blood screens that search for antibodies to the virus and that determine whether someone was previously infected. They are different from diagnostic tests, which only detect people who currently have the virus, called SARS-CoV-2.

snip


taking the lowest number (6X)

puts the lethality rate at 0.53% (roughly 10 times LESS than what you are claiming)

taking the highest number (24X)

puts the lethality rate at 0.13% (roughly 40 times less than what your are claiming)

The vast, vast majority of all doctors have a consensus that the actual lethality rate is 1% or less in the US. I see this discussed daily on the telly. Remember that is the overall lethality rate for all age cohorts, which brings me to........


Number two, the lethality rate is far, far lower for the lower age groups. The majority of those attending will not be in the age groups that account for the vast bulk of COVID-19 deaths (55yo and up, and especially 65yo and up).

The average age in 2018 was 49 (and trending down) and I assume this year will be even younger, as the oldest ones will be far more likely to not attend (250,000 attending is half of the 500,000 who came in 2018)


https://data.cdc.gov/NCHS/Provisional-COVID-19-Death-Counts-by-Sex-Age-and-S/9bhg-hcku/data

[Initech]

22. Holy shit!!!

[Iggo]

10. I don't give a fuck about that. They want Covid? They can fucking die of Covid. Good riddance.

Problem is, they're going to spread it and kill a bunch of people who trying not to die.

And I do give a fuck about that.

[mitch96]

11. " Trump may lose a lot of his bikers."

And loose a lot of VOTES........ covidiots...... Ride on "bro"..
BTW tell these guys that halloween is over they can take off the "Narly biker" outfit .
m

[fescuerescue]

30. 250,000 attendees

spread across 50 states.

Even if it kills every single one, it's not enough to influence the election.

Ultimately the August sturgis rally won't affect the the November election.

[mitch96]

31. Then again if one biker brings home the virus and infects another tRumper thats not voting.

It tends to spread exponentially.. 1,2,4,8,16,32 like that...Even if it's "only" 500,000 votes that don't make it, I think it's gonna make a dent.. YMMV . Math geeks step in if I'm wrong here...
m

[fescuerescue]

33. or a dem

The virus doesn't care who it's victim votes for.

Thinking about it. Covid 19 will hurt us more than it hurts Republicans. This is because Democratic strongholds are also the most population dense parts of the US.

If a Biker goes back to his home in Bumford West Virginia, he's only putting at risk a handful of people. But if that same Biker goes back to New York City and takes the subway...well you can see the difference. But how many bikers live in dense cities?

Really. Let's just look forward to the day when we have this cured.

[mitch96]

34. "The virus doesn't care who it's victim votes for. "

True and it's the red neck bikers who don't protect them selfs from the virus who will spread it to their like minded friends and family. I don't know about your neck of the woods but down here in Fla all of my dem friends follow the covid rules. Most of my conservative friends do not. So without the minimum of masks, hand washing, social distancing and quarantine to me it seems these guys have a higher chance of getting sick and spreading it to their fellow conservatives. The virus is opportunistic and goes where it is invited.
m

[Bev54]

12. I was watching the web cams for Sturgis

Nobody is wearing masks, I saw only 4 in about a half hour with masks on. This is one big petri dish, the only good side is, it is doubtful they will see 250,000 people. There was always a large contingent of Canadians that would attend and they won't be there. Not sure how many people are there but they said attendance is down quite a bit.

[JI7]

13. Im worried about them infecting others but don't really care what happens

to them.

[2naSalit]

14. And a whole bunch of them will be blasting through

National Parks on their way home. And Many have already been through them on their way there. They will be spreading it as if a they were at a rally for chump.

[gulliver]

15. Maybe it's time to start looking for used Dynas on eBay.

Always wanted one.

[Blue_true]

16. ....

Too bad I am afraid of motorcycles. I just love a good deal. Not sure that I have ever looked for a deal at estate sales though.

[KY_EnviroGuy]

17. Right-wing media has brainwashed them into total personal responsibility...

so therefore they will never blame failures of national leadership, but instead themselves.

Right-wing media has also brainwashed them into believing all government is evil.

Right-wing media has also brainwashed them into many false believes about COVID-19.

Right-wing media has also brainwashed them into believing total personal freedom means they don't have to follow any of society's rules or norms.

We are now living in a state of sugar-coated anarchy wrapped in a flag.

That's precisely what the right-wing wants.....

[moondust]

18. I really don't care. Do u?

It's not them I care about.

I care about any others they may drag into the nightmare: unwitting victims they infect and all the health care workers worn out by having to deal with the consequences of their irresponsible behavior when they should be taking care of responsible citizens.

[bluestarone]

20. There is only ONE THING that can fix STUPID. That's

Covid-19

[Initech]

23. I put it this way:

Democrats = Black Lives Matter

Republicans = Blue Lives Matter

Coronavirus = No Lives Matter

[Celerity]

24. +1000

[roamer65]

25. No sympathy for them.

Could care less if they die from it. Natural selection at work.

Good riddance.

[Raine]

26. Probably very very few but

they will carry it with them spreading it wherever they go to people all over the country.

[JimGinPA]

28. +1000

That's what I think every time I see one of these idiot gatherings.