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RandySF

(59,360 posts)
Thu Aug 6, 2020, 05:43 PM Aug 2020

Model projects nearly 300,000 Americans could die from Covid-19 by December

(CNN)Researchers behind an influential model are projecting that the US death toll from coronavirus could reach nearly 300,000 by December 1 -- but that can be changed if Americans consistently wear masks.

According to Johns Hopkins University, 159,841 people have died in the United States since the pandemic began.

"The US forecast totals 295,011 deaths by December," the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation statement says.



https://www.cnn.com/2020/08/06/health/us-coronavirus-thursday/index.html

6 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Model projects nearly 300,000 Americans could die from Covid-19 by December (Original Post) RandySF Aug 2020 OP
This message was self-deleted by its author Chin music Aug 2020 #1
I think people have become desensitized to the numbers. Steelrolled Aug 2020 #2
This message was self-deleted by its author Chin music Aug 2020 #5
I Hope They've Upgraded The Math ProfessorGAC Aug 2020 #3
Winning Baby!!!! Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin Aug 2020 #4
That's approaching the number of US deaths in WWII tinrobot Aug 2020 #6

Response to RandySF (Original post)

Response to Steelrolled (Reply #2)

ProfessorGAC

(65,227 posts)
3. I Hope They've Upgraded The Math
Thu Aug 6, 2020, 05:59 PM
Aug 2020

This is the same model that was being adjusted on the fly with overestimates, then underestimates, then changes to avoid being wrong again....
They were the group who also kept changing between the median, the lower CI, the Upper CI.
I just looked at the website. The graphic is much different. The lines are differing scenarios.
I think it's a good improvement. I hope their math & assumptions have improved, as well.
Have a look!
https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america

tinrobot

(10,924 posts)
6. That's approaching the number of US deaths in WWII
Thu Aug 6, 2020, 07:48 PM
Aug 2020

I think the number for WWII is right around 300,000

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