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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsModel projects nearly 300,000 Americans could die from Covid-19 by December
(CNN)Researchers behind an influential model are projecting that the US death toll from coronavirus could reach nearly 300,000 by December 1 -- but that can be changed if Americans consistently wear masks.
According to Johns Hopkins University, 159,841 people have died in the United States since the pandemic began.
"The US forecast totals 295,011 deaths by December," the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation statement says.
https://www.cnn.com/2020/08/06/health/us-coronavirus-thursday/index.html
Response to RandySF (Original post)
Chin music This message was self-deleted by its author.
Steelrolled
(2,022 posts)Response to Steelrolled (Reply #2)
Chin music This message was self-deleted by its author.
ProfessorGAC
(65,227 posts)This is the same model that was being adjusted on the fly with overestimates, then underestimates, then changes to avoid being wrong again....
They were the group who also kept changing between the median, the lower CI, the Upper CI.
I just looked at the website. The graphic is much different. The lines are differing scenarios.
I think it's a good improvement. I hope their math & assumptions have improved, as well.
Have a look!
https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america
Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin
(108,274 posts)So much winning.
tinrobot
(10,924 posts)I think the number for WWII is right around 300,000