IA-SEN: Sabato's Crystal Ball shifts Iowa Senate race to 'toss-up
Sabato’s Crystal Ball moved the closely watched Senate race in Iowa into the "toss-up" column on Wednesday, the latest sign that Sen. Joni Ernst’s (R-Iowa) seat is in play for Democrats.
The nonpartisan election handicapper based at the University of Virginia’s Center for Politics previously rated the race between Ernst and Democrat Theresa Greenfield as “leans Republican.”
Kyle Kondik, the managing editor of Sabato’s Crystal Ball, said in the group's analysis that — like other vulnerable GOP Senate incumbents, including Sens. Thom Tillis (R-N.C.) and Martha McSally (R-Ariz.) — there are signs that Ernst is underperforming President Trump in polling of her state.
“Sen. Joni Ernst (R-IA), like McSally and Tillis, appears to be doing a little worse than Trump in her state,” Kondik wrote. “She has a little more wiggle room than the other two — note that Trump still carries Iowa even in this hypothetical scenario where Biden is winning nationally by 10 — but both parties are acting (and spending) like Iowa is a Toss-up.”
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/510681-sabatos-crystal-ball-shifts-iowa-senate-race-to-toss-up-georgia-toward-gop
