McConnell has 17-point lead over Democratic challenger McGrath: poll

[babylonsister]

McConnell has 17-point lead over Democratic challenger McGrath: poll
By Alexander Bolton - 08/04/20 10:08 AM EDT


Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) is leading his Democratic opponent, Amy McGrath, by a commanding 17 points in a new poll that shows the GOP leader ahead 53 to 36 percent.

Eighty-four percent of Republicans polled by Morning Consult said they support McConnell while 79 percent of Democrats said they back McGrath. Twelve percent of Democrats said they also support McConnell.

The GOP leader also has more support among independents than McGrath, with 45 percent backing McConnell and 33 percent favoring McGrath.

The survey of 700 likely voters in Kentucky, reported on by the Louisville Courier Journal, was conducted online from July 24 to Aug. 2 and had a margin of error of 3.5 percent.

more...

https://thehill.com/homenews/senate/510418-mcconnell-has-17-point-lead-over-democratic-challenger-mcgrath-poll

[Sherman A1]

1. How?

Just How?

[beachbumbob]

2. look at poll, never take the a single poll at face value

I could find no breakouts of demographics outside of generalizations

[rockfordfile]

38. I agree

[Eyeball_Kid]

5. Kentucky. That's how. n/t

[calguy]

3. Not surprised he is up

Kinda surprised he is up by that much.

[hlthe2b]

4. RW (and 12% of Dem) Kentuckians need to step away from the Bourbon...

Geebus.

[ProudMNDemocrat]

6. Kentucky ranks at the bottom of states .....

When it comes to Quality of life
Education
Health Care
Job prospects

And Moscow Mitch is ahead? I do not get it!

[Mike 03]

10. Well, I don't know, but all those things you listed contribute to

lower IQ.

[ProudMNDemocrat]

14. That too. Comes from POOR education....

[Mike 03]

7. Kentucky is a lost cause. I feel sad for Amy McGrath, because she declared so early

and poured her heart into this, produced excellent ads and (from what I've seen) out-raised #MoscowMitch.

[riversedge]

15. yes, agree. Amy has worked hard to get recognized. damn it!

[bluestarone]

8. I cannot believe this poll

I will NOT believe this poll!!! ( I'm sure TURTLEFUCK will win) BUT i DO NOT believe 12% of Dems support him. TOTAL LIE!

[riversedge]

16. my thought was--WHAT THE F** IS WRONG WITH THOSE 12% DEMS SUPPORTING MITCH. ???

[Laelth]

9. Would Charles Booker be faring better at this point?

In the year of BLM, I think so, but it is what it is. I wish McGrath the best and hope she wins.

-Laelth

[BannonsLiver]

32. I'm sure he'd be tearing it up

A black Our Rev candidate in Kentucky? He’d be a shoe in.

[trof]

40. shoo

[dubyadiprecession]

11. Kentucky wants to reward him for losing the senate for them?

They are a bunch of dumbass’s, aren’t they?

[wishstar]

12. He brings home the pork barrel projects and maybe constituent service

His wife as Sec of Transportation has ensured millions are steered to Kentucky as well as some Russian investments such as that aluminum deal that required and received Senate lifting of sanctions.

Here in NC Jesse Helms kept winning with help of some Dems because he brought fed money to NC and his local offices provided effective reliable constituent services.

[greymattermom]

24. The whole riverfront in Louisville is a park now.

And the park extends miles to the east. It used to look like River Road in Cincinnati looks now.

[crickets]

29. +1 ...Lots of money goes to KY from Oleg Deripaska and Len Blavatnik as well. 😕

[kentuck]

13. An online poll.

Not reliable.

[tosh]

22. Truth.

I wish I could kick & rec your reply!

[Buckeyeblue]

17. If this is accurate it explains why McConnell is slow-walking the Covid bill

[Cousin Dupree]

18. As I read somewhere (I think it was DU, and I'm paraphrasing):

People support him not because of what he does for them, but for what he does to the people they hate.

[Demsrule86]

21. But a caveat is this...right now he is not doing shit for people in Kentucky or anywhere.

[Demsrule86]

19. I don't believe it...have seen much closer polls.

It won't be that close and by not sending help with unemployment every GOP type is endangered...read up on 1932.

[riversedge]

20. new Morning Consult poll shows Trump with a huge lead over Biden in Kentucky: 59 to 35%

well, this shows why McConnell's lead is so big. Kentucky loves the Trumpster (not surprised)



.........The new Morning Consult poll shows Trump with a huge lead over former Vice President Joe Biden in Kentucky, 59 to 35 percent.

The Louisville Courier Journal, however, noted that Trump’s lead is smaller than his 30-point margin of victory over Hillary Clinton in the 2016 presidential election.

https://thehill.com/homenews/senate/510418-mcconnell-has-17-point-lead-over-democratic-challenger-mcgrath-poll

[dustyscamp]

37. Damn

[EarlG]

23. It's Kentucky

Democrats haven't won a Senate race there since 1992, so this is roughly equivalent to Republicans worrying that they're not within striking distance in New York (they last won a Senate seat there in 1992 also, and yes, I know there isn't a Senate race there this year -- this is just for historical comparison).

To look on the bright side though, if during a presidential election year the news media were publishing stories about the current state of a New York Senate race, I'd probably be nervous about what that might mean for our chances nationally. (To put it in perspective, Gillibrand won her race by 34 points in 2018 and Schumer won his race by 44 points in 2016 -- McConnell is only ahead by 17 in this poll).

[Jose Garcia]

25. Not a big surprise considering that he won by 56%-40% last time

[CincyDem]

26. Absolutely no surprise.

I said it in another thread about a different rural red area...but have any y’all actually been to rural Kentucky.

Not to pick on any of the few rural KY Dems who might be here...but try Paris, KY. Try Dry Ridge or Hebron. Try Ashland. These seem like people who will eat glass to retain their sense of superiority (much of which is long gone). This is the state that when BHO administration offered free retraining to coal miners, the program shut down as only 1-2% of eligible folks took part...then they moaned that they got no help from the government. These folks are the core of the base and Mitch knows it.

Sorry to rant. I love McGrath but she’s wasted on a state like KY.

[KentuckyWoman]

27. It baffles me beyond all reason.

The man is pretty much universally hated in Kentucky. Booed everywhere he goes.
But they keep voting him back in.

Amy has the best chance I've seen in a long time and I hope she knocks him off.
Edit to add the poll given isn't reliable - and a big GOTV push is sure to help.

[JCMach1]

28. No surprised, but this seems to an outlier

McConnell up is no surprise, it's the number I question

[uponit7771]

34. This poll is claiming 12% of Democrats support McConnell

[Awsi Dooger]

41. Actually 12% is incredibly low for Democratic crossover in Kentucky

That state is among many where party registration and party identification are basically worthless. Tens of thousands of registered Democrats in Kentucky never bothered to change parties even though all they do is vote Republican.

For example, 28% of Kentucky Democrats voted for Bush in 2004 and 30% for McCain in 2008.

Kentucky hasn't been exit polled recently but I doubt much has changed.

This is the reason I always look at ideology and totally ignore party percentages.

[DonCoquixote]

30. This is what you get

When you sinister that your challengers be centre-right people who look like the majority. Ashley Judd wanted to run in the last election, but instead, we had a challenger who made commercials with a shotgun in hand talking about Obama.

[uponit7771]

33. "12% of Democrats support McConnell.." Messaging has been a huge issue in DNC and this is a

... this is a Tell-Tale that DNC is not better across 50 states when it comes to messaging

This makes me think November is going to be closer than it needs to be

[mcar]

35. I believe this is an online poll

Not reliable.

[rockfordfile]

39. the spotlight is on traitor trump, but it should be on Moscow Mitch

He's staying under the radar. I think that will change.

[Trenzalore]

42. This was a pipe dream

It would have been nice but KY isn't going blue anytime soon.