General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsSome simple math on the Presidential Election...
Assuming Biden holds all of Clinton's 2016 States, he needs to win back PA (20 EV), MI (16 EV) and WI (10 EV).
Biden is currently ahead in all three.
Biden is also currently ahead in NC (15 EV), GA (16 EV), FL (29 EV) and AZ (11).
If he wins AZ or NC, he doesn't need WI.
If he wins GA, he doesn't need MI.
If he wins FL, he doesn't need PA.
VMA131Marine
(4,149 posts)But, winning FL probably means he wins both of those as well.
lark
(23,158 posts)This is the state that had had the deepest "reported" intrusion by Russia in 2016 and they've had 4 years of colluding with drumpf and the Gov to cement that. They stole the seat from Nelson, even when he actually won if the votes had been counted, and even possibly from Gillum. They stole it from HRC (Broward county had massive undervote for presidency showing, way beyond coincidence) and have every plan to steal it in 2020 as well.
If people vote massively by mail, we are doomed in this state as that process was totally rigged against us by Voldemort and is still in place. Do not count on FL, there are 52 rw billionaire living here and they & their party fuck us every time. Now, I hope there are enough early voters and Repugs voting Dem that their efforts fail and badly, otherwise they will steal the election by suppressing mightily the mail in vote, refusing to count the ballots, closing precincts in all cities, ballots delivered late on purpose and even possibly with vote changing by Russia or other fascists. Early voting is the only thing that could save FL for the Dems. In other states, I do highly recommend mail in voting, but do it very early so drumpf's postmasters shenanigans to keep ballots from being delivered aren't in effect.
yellowcanine
(35,701 posts)TexasTowelie
(112,456 posts)and considering that Biden is leading in some polls in Texas and with the MOE in others it seems wise for his campaign to make a robust investment within the state. If Biden has coattails, then we could not only flip the Texas House, but we could gain nearly 10 seats in the House of Representatives since they could fight against gerrymandering after the census. That's a lot of bang for the buck sitting on the table ready for Democrats to exploit.
beachbumbob
(9,263 posts)this is not just about winning, its about humiliating level of defeat inflicted on GOP
SKKY
(11,823 posts)...this needs to be a blow-out. I mean, not of Reagan - Mondale proportions, but a blow-out. It needs to be obvious, and as painfully so as possible, that America has rejected Trumpism and everything it stands for. In so much as we're able, we really need to run up the score.
We want to win, but we really want to dominate the streets
I hope to see a soul (not that they have one) crushing defeat for the GOP in every office up for election. This party needs to be driven from office and into the garbage where they belong.
Wounded Bear
(58,721 posts)I want 400 EC votes and 65 million popular votes.
There can be no doubt once it's over.
Buckeye_Democrat
(14,858 posts)Biden could legitimately declare that he's got "politucal capital" from a big win, or whatever Dumbya said about his small win over Kerry in 2004.
edhopper
(33,625 posts)Kemp will make sure Trump wins.
He needs to win Florida by 3% to 5% to overcome DeSantis cheating him.