Boston Herald: If we undersample Dems, Brown is still ahead!

[ProSense]

Boston Herald: If we undersample Dems, Brown is still ahead!

by AnotherMassachusettsLiberal

Facing a tide of four recent polls showing Elizabeth Warren leading Scott Brown, the Boston (Bird Cage Liner) Herald decided to conduct its own poll. In a shocking twist, they discovered that if you poll 28% Democrats, 12% Republicans and 60% unenrolled folks, Brown still has a lead. Of course, the problem with this is that it doesn't reflect reality: party registration in MA is...36% Democrats, 11% Republicans and...unenrolled 53% unenrolled and other party! But then, no one has ever accused the Herald of accurately reflecting reality...

Here's the scoop on the five recent polls of this race, all taken since the completion of the DNC:

Western New England University Polling Institute: Warren 50, Brown 44 (D 37%, R 14%, U 49%)

Public Policy Polling: Warren 48, Brown 46 (D 38%, R 17%, U 45%)

Suffolk: Warren 48, Brown 44 (D 36%, R 12%, U 52%)

WBUR/MassInc: Warren 45, Brown 40 (D 37%, R 12%, U 51%)

Boston (Puppy Trainer) Herald: Warren 44, Brown 49 (D 28%, R 12%, U 60%)

The Herald poll is certainly an outlier - among the polls where Warren holds a lead, the closest one if from PPP, which oversampled the Republicans significantly, showing how skewing the respondents can influence the outcome. All of this seems to prove the old adage: statistics don't lie, but liars use statistics!

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http://www.dailykos.com/story/2012/09/20/1134297/-Boston-Herald-If-we-undersample-Dems-Brown-is-still-ahead

[riverbendviewgal]

1. My father-in-law from Red Boiling Springs, Tenn said

The paper never refuses ink.

[Xipe Totec]

2. The Boston Horror - Fox in Print nt

[shawmut]

3. The Herald is scared shitless

They've begun to realize that all the work they've put into trying to get him re-elected isn't working anymore.