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Trenzalore

(2,331 posts)
1. I don't believe Biden is only +2 in PA at the same time he is +2 in Arizona
Wed Jul 29, 2020, 11:25 AM
Jul 2020

Demographically that makes 0 sense.

lagomorph777

(30,613 posts)
2. Assume a fair amount of noise in the data at this point.
Wed Jul 29, 2020, 11:27 AM
Jul 2020

Overall, the numbers are very encouraging. IF we GOTV.

Fiendish Thingy

(15,683 posts)
6. These are LV's not just RV's , and bound to be tighter
Wed Jul 29, 2020, 11:33 AM
Jul 2020

Although I didn’t expect this much tightening this soon.

Good news is MOE is only 1.94%, so at least Michigan appears beyond the MOE.

calguy

(5,336 posts)
8. An earlier article showing trump pulling out ads in Michigan
Wed Jul 29, 2020, 11:40 AM
Jul 2020

tells you all you need to know.... for now.

calguy

(5,336 posts)
7. Let 'em show a tighter range
Wed Jul 29, 2020, 11:39 AM
Jul 2020

We don't need the complacency that comes with wide lead margins.
Work like we're 10 points down.

Cicada

(4,533 posts)
13. They get respondents with online ads
Wed Jul 29, 2020, 01:37 PM
Jul 2020

The accuracy of online polls has astounded me.,I would never have expected them to be be accurate at all yet in many cases they have been about as accurate as traditional polls. Of course I am also amazed at how accurate traditional polls are.

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