General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsSo, let's say it's November 4, 2020
Trump is insisting that he won and wont give up the Presidency. What happens? Because Democrats need to have a plan for this.
I see this as more of a possibility as each day passes. There is NO way I will ever believe that Trump wins re-election. No way. I dont think he won in 2016. I think he cheated and I think he will cheat again.
Yes, go ahead and call me paranoid. But Id rather be paranoid than unprepared. What does Biden do? What do we do? We didnt do anything in 2016. Will it be the same in 2020?
katmondoo
(6,457 posts)elleng
(130,974 posts)The American people will decide this election, Biden spokesman Andrew Bates said. And the United States government is perfectly capable of escorting trespassers out of the White House.
Stuart G
(38,436 posts)Why? He is a liar, a con man, and a bully. When he loses 40 of 50 states, he will know he has lost and leave quietly. Maybe 350-400 electoral votes for Biden. Maybe more..Trump will not insist that he won, because he lost it so bad. That is my prediction..(take it for what it is worth, but I have watched politics closely for more than 45 years.)
exboyfil
(17,863 posts)but I don't see how Biden wins 40 states.
Tribetime
(4,699 posts)exboyfil
(17,863 posts)His lawyers will contest any close election in the courts (see 2000), and he even might try to corrupt the state legislatures in GOP controlled states to invalidate their election if he can't find a way to tip it to him.
I wouldn't be surprised if their are power outages in urban areas in states like Wisconsin and Pennsylvania during the election.
Every dirty trick that you can imagine.
Unlike 2016 I assume Biden would mount the best defense that he can in the courts.
I hate to say it, but I think it is still more likely than not that Trump has more electoral votes in the box when they are counted. The USSC will back him on it. I don't know if Ginsburg will even be able to hear cases at that point, and it might not matter given there is a solid 4 and a likely 5th.
Our country could be headed towards civil war.
smirkymonkey
(63,221 posts)hamsterjill
(15,222 posts)n/t
Fiendish Thingy
(15,624 posts)Not bloody likely - look up the process- these arent secret, anonymous ballots, they are signed by the electors and certified before being transported under armed guard to the Capitol. Any discrepancy would be immediately noticed.
I suppose he could try to bribe a Biden elector to switch to Trump (or Kanye), but again, SCOTUS just affirmed criminal penalties for faithless electors.
Wounded Bear
(58,670 posts)I'm greedy like that.
Response to hamsterjill (Original post)
mokawanis This message was self-deleted by its author.
patricia92243
(12,597 posts)loses, he is no longer President and would be forcibly removed if necessary.
hamsterjill
(15,222 posts)See the concern?
SoonerPride
(12,286 posts)I dont think that will happen
More likely is he will appeal to his supporters to kill democrats and that will happen.
hamsterjill
(15,222 posts)There are a lot of crazy QAnon followers out there.
Bengus81
(6,931 posts)On 1/20/21. Or the new COMMANDER IN CHIEF can order the military to remove that THUG.
USALiberal
(10,877 posts)hamsterjill
(15,222 posts)Do you not see that? He acts like a dictator and so far, at least, he hasnt been stopped. Im
USALiberal
(10,877 posts)Fiendish Thingy
(15,624 posts)Please explain, in detail, how Trump could use the power of the presidency to remain in office, especially once the EVs have been certified by congress.
hamsterjill
(15,222 posts)Because he did.
JI7
(89,252 posts)of right wing attacks, the so called left that booed her at the convention and still trying to sue her primary win. The fucked up misogyny and Comey to top it all off.
And she still won millions more votes and it came down to very few votes over 3 states.
Biden isn't dealing with most of that shit.
Fiendish Thingy
(15,624 posts)He won the rust belt by 77,000 votes, a margin narrow enough to be managed by convincing a handful of voters in each precinct to vote third party or stay home.
Sherman A1
(38,958 posts)or perhaps for several days due to the large amount of mail in ballots. This election will take time and we need to be patient.
Fiendish Thingy
(15,624 posts)IIRC, Dec. 14 is the date that each states electors must be appointed and cast their votes, and Jan. 6 is when the new congress counts and certifies the electoral votes.
It doesnt matter what Trump says, it matters what he does...
Im sure he will have lawyers challenge the results in any states with close margins, but most states dont allow recounts unless the margin falls below 0.5%. Thats why Biden must win the swing states with a margin that can withstand any challenges. Trump will try to challenge mail in ballots as fraudulent, but I dont think that will get far in court.
There has been some concern about states with Republican legislatures refusing to appoint electors, but in many states, the legislature has no power over the appointment of electors, it is the role of the Secretary of State to certify the popular vote and appoint electors as prescribed by law. In Michigan, for example, the SoS must appoint electors based on the outcome of the popular vote.
If Trump or any states GOP legislature succeeds in blocking the appointment of any electors, that just lowers the total needed to win the presidency. Some have worried that this strategy would throw the decision to the house, where each state gets 1 vote, but that only applies if neither candidate gets a majority of the appointed electors, which is not possible if electors are split between just 2 candidates- except for a tie (the times in the past that the house has had to decide elections has only occurred when 3-4 candidates earned electoral votes or there was a tie).
If things turn out as projected in current polls, Trump will have to brazenly attempt to overturn the will of the people in numerous states- a strategy not likely to succeed, IMO.
Once the EVs are certified by congress, Trump can wreak havoc as a lame duck, but he is powerless to avoid the reality of his term ending on January 20, 2021.
smirkymonkey
(63,221 posts)I am hoping for the best, but whatever happens it's going to be a shit-show. All I know is that I am planning on taking that entire week off. I don't want to be out there and I wouldn't be able to concentrate on anything anyway.
hamsterjill
(15,222 posts)Thats why Im begging that Dems have a plan. Biden cannot just give up like Al Gore was forced to do.
smirkymonkey
(63,221 posts)I don't see him graciously accepting defeat. It is not in his makeup. I really hope they are planning to be prepared for this eventuality.
The other plan should be to challenge an invalid Trump victory, because I don't believe that will be legitimate either.
hamsterjill
(15,222 posts)But he will cheat to the last breath. As Ive said in other posts, hes no longer any use to Putin when hes no longer President and that is enough to scare the shit out of him Im sure. He is and will remain desperate to win and he will try anything and everything.
lastlib
(23,248 posts)On election day, he pulls off enough dirty tricks (like power outages to polling places/election HQs) that the legitimate vote count can't be established in key states. So he goes to court, and "miraculously" get those states to swing his way, or maybe hangs up the Electoral College voting, and the packed SCOTUS rules in his favor.
It may be far-fetched, but I can never say he wouldn't try it to stay in power. "Reichstag fire" has been in the back of my mind since November 2016......
Fiendish Thingy
(15,624 posts)sop
(10,193 posts)available remedy in every legislature and court across the country, then takes everything to the SC. This is what Trump always does when he refuses to accept defeat.
Yes. He wont ever acknowledge the loss. And his Republican enablers will continue to back him.
jimlup
(7,968 posts)except it wasn't "he" who cheated. Someone else above him cheated and the Don knew. This person above Don't name has initials V and P.
hamsterjill
(15,222 posts)And V and P will no longer have any use for D and T if he is no longer President. V and P might kill D and T if he loses and no longer has value. That might be incentive to win by any means.
You and I understand that we are no longer dealing with anything normal where Trump is concerned.
sarisataka
(18,663 posts)Where in any official US document does it say the sitting President must accept that he lost and/or has the option to give up the office?
JustABozoOnThisBus
(23,350 posts)and loaded into nondescript rented minivans,
then the election results might be acceptable to him.
we can do it
(12,189 posts)hamsterjill
(15,222 posts)The SOB stole 2016 and Im not going to stop screaming this to the mountaintop.
The oh, everything is going to work out fine isnt true. Because everything is, if you havent noticed, in the shitter.
we can do it
(12,189 posts)The American people will decide this election, Biden spokesman Andrew Bates said. And the United States government is perfectly capable of escorting trespassers out of the White House.
hamsterjill
(15,222 posts)But he wont ever admit that he lost. Thats the fear. He knows his ass is grass if he loses. Whether he goes to jail or goes to Russia and Putin kills him because he no longer has any use. Plus, hes crazy.
USALiberal
(10,877 posts)JI7
(89,252 posts)ecstatic
(32,712 posts)I cannot and will not do another 4 years of this shit. Period. Point. Blank.
hamsterjill
(15,222 posts)Another four years of this shit and there will be nothing left.
Awsi Dooger
(14,565 posts)That is the one guarantee.
He'll brainwash his supporters into believing it, and that any other result means left wing theft.
kentuck
(111,103 posts)But, it has become commonplace - like fake news.
Never in my seven decades here had I heard any politician call the press the enemy of the people.
Now it sounds almost normal.
Nothing is predictable or guaranteed for November 4th.
hamsterjill
(15,222 posts)There are many things that have become normalized over the last four years that I would never have expected to see in this country.
There is no telling what Trump will do. Each time hes pulled something, the optimist in me has said maybe that will be what brings him down and each time, hes gotten away with what he wanted to accomplish.
I take nothing for granted in this election.
lame54
(35,294 posts)I have a spare room Joe can run the country from