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DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
Wed Jul 15, 2020, 11:45 AM Jul 2020

*****GUARANTED FRESH***** A+ Rated Monmouth Poll of Pennsylvania - Biden 52% Trump 42%

West Long Branch, NJ – Joe Biden holds a 13 point lead over Donald Trump among all registered
voters in Pennsylvania according to the Monmouth (“Mon-muth”) University Poll. Among likely voters,
the Democrat has an edge of 7 to 10 points depending on the expected turnout level. Biden is also ahead
in key swing counties, which include the region of his birthplace. Despite the challenger’s poll lead,
voters are evenly divided on who they think will win the Keystone State’s electoral votes this year as a
majority believe that their communities hold a number of “secret Trump voters.” Other poll findings
include a close margin on the generic congressional ballot and better reviews for the commonwealth’s
governor than for the president on handling the pandemic.

https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/documents/monmouthpoll_pa_071520.pdf/

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*****GUARANTED FRESH***** A+ Rated Monmouth Poll of Pennsylvania - Biden 52% Trump 42% (Original Post) DemocratSinceBirth Jul 2020 OP
Hillary's states + PA gives Joe 254 electoral votes Yavin4 Jul 2020 #1
Hillary states + PA sums to 252 (ignoring faithless electors) nsd Jul 2020 #2
I gave all of Maine to Joe. Yavin4 Jul 2020 #3
Adding ME 2nd gets him to 269 with MI and PA -- which is to say, a tie. nsd Jul 2020 #7
tie goes to the House, which we will certainly retain Amishman Jul 2020 #14
Good old A+ rated Monmouth!!! :) Music Man Jul 2020 #4
MI, PA, and WI Johnny2X2X Jul 2020 #5
Agreed. I call it PA-WI-MI. Yavin4 Jul 2020 #9
Last time was such a fluke. Still think.. mvd Jul 2020 #6
Thank you for helping oswaldactedalone Jul 2020 #12
I can tell you WI drank the Russian tea and hated Clinton in 2016 LakeArenal Jul 2020 #15
Let's keep it up!! jorgevlorgan Jul 2020 #8
Trump is fucked. shockey80 Jul 2020 #10
I agree with you..Trump will lose very, very big. Stuart G Jul 2020 #11
17% lead in the swing counties......if that holds, Biden wins PA easily sunonmars Jul 2020 #13

Yavin4

(35,441 posts)
1. Hillary's states + PA gives Joe 254 electoral votes
Wed Jul 15, 2020, 11:50 AM
Jul 2020

Add Michigan, lose ALL other swing states, and Joe wins the presidency.

nsd

(2,406 posts)
2. Hillary states + PA sums to 252 (ignoring faithless electors)
Wed Jul 15, 2020, 11:53 AM
Jul 2020

adding MI brings us to 268

Joe would still need one more (e.g., Wisconsin or Arizona)

nsd

(2,406 posts)
7. Adding ME 2nd gets him to 269 with MI and PA -- which is to say, a tie.
Wed Jul 15, 2020, 12:34 PM
Jul 2020

Still needs something else to win outright.

Amishman

(5,557 posts)
14. tie goes to the House, which we will certainly retain
Wed Jul 15, 2020, 01:18 PM
Jul 2020

Pickup Nebraska district 2, and that also gets to 269. I also see that as more likely than Maine district 2

Music Man

(1,184 posts)
4. Good old A+ rated Monmouth!!! :)
Wed Jul 15, 2020, 12:01 PM
Jul 2020

It's interesting to me that voters are concerned about "secret Trump voters." I think it will motivate our folks to not take anything for granted and truly get out the vote. 2016 was a wake-up call.

Johnny2X2X

(19,066 posts)
5. MI, PA, and WI
Wed Jul 15, 2020, 12:05 PM
Jul 2020

Joe must win these 3, everything else is gravy.

If Joe neglects those 3 states like Hillary did I will freak out.

Yavin4

(35,441 posts)
9. Agreed. I call it PA-WI-MI.
Wed Jul 15, 2020, 12:45 PM
Jul 2020

The last 6 weeks of the campaign should look like this:

Visit :
Week 1: OH, FLA, and TX
Week 2: NC, GA, AZ
Week 3: PA, MI
Week 4: AZ, WISC, MI
Week 5: AZ, WISC, MI
Week 6: WISC, MI

The last stop should be WISC.

mvd

(65,174 posts)
6. Last time was such a fluke. Still think..
Wed Jul 15, 2020, 12:11 PM
Jul 2020

there was something fishy about Hillary losing so closely in those 3 states. PA should be comfortably for Biden, but I will keep doing my part to make sure.

oswaldactedalone

(3,491 posts)
12. Thank you for helping
Wed Jul 15, 2020, 12:54 PM
Jul 2020

because all races on the ballot matter. We've got to win as many seats as possible at all levels of government especially with this being a census year.

LakeArenal

(28,820 posts)
15. I can tell you WI drank the Russian tea and hated Clinton in 2016
Wed Jul 15, 2020, 02:31 PM
Jul 2020

Joe does not have that curse hanging on him.

Sanders won the primary in WI 2016.

Not this year.

Biden will win WI this time.

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