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electoral-vot.com just moved Texas into the blue (Original Post) Poiuyt Jul 2020 OP
Yes it's still very early calguy Jul 2020 #1
Biden is only three points back in Utah AND Alaska! yellowcanine Jul 2020 #2
A number of the state polls are a month or more old so the actual map is less red and more blue. yellowcanine Jul 2020 #3
I just can't see Texas going blue. BlueTsunami2018 Jul 2020 #4
I can see it vercetti2021 Jul 2020 #6
Gerrymandering has no affect on statewide elections Mariana Jul 2020 #10
What are the odds of this having impacts down ballot? Massacure Jul 2020 #5
I also think Montana, Kansas, and Iowa are doable SouthernCal_Dem Jul 2020 #7
Probably not, but I'll take anything north of 400... Wounded Bear Jul 2020 #12
According to Trump logic if we stop all polling now Biden will win! yellowcanine Jul 2020 #8
I don't know about Texas but... TomSlick Jul 2020 #9
No way Arkansas is a toss up. This map is bogus. Patterson Jul 2020 #13
I'm glad you pointed it out Awsi Dooger Jul 2020 #14
I hope I'm wrong. TomSlick Jul 2020 #15
Canceling Razorback football may be a blessing. Patterson Jul 2020 #16
You make a point. TomSlick Jul 2020 #17
I don't see winning Ohio. Patterson Jul 2020 #11

calguy

(5,313 posts)
1. Yes it's still very early
Tue Jul 14, 2020, 09:28 PM
Jul 2020

The actual campaign hasn't really started yet. But still, at this point, it's much better to be up than down.
Like you, I love the trend.

BlueTsunami2018

(3,492 posts)
4. I just can't see Texas going blue.
Tue Jul 14, 2020, 09:45 PM
Jul 2020

Too much suppression and cheating there. The republicans have had twenty years to fix the state.

TomSlick

(11,098 posts)
9. I don't know about Texas but...
Tue Jul 14, 2020, 10:19 PM
Jul 2020

They are showing Arkansas as a toss-up. Trump couldn't lose Arkansas on purpose.

 

Awsi Dooger

(14,565 posts)
14. I'm glad you pointed it out
Tue Jul 14, 2020, 11:45 PM
Jul 2020

Completely ridiculous map.

Arkansas, Utah and Alaska are outright certainties for Trump. Ohio is almost certain for Trump. Iowa likely for him.

Nevada they are being too cautious the other way. There is 0% chance that Texas and Nevada should share the same category.

This map is overly reliant on polling and not the foundational realities of each state. Unfortunately the betting odds are not as susceptible to that type of foolishness.

TomSlick

(11,098 posts)
15. I hope I'm wrong.
Wed Jul 15, 2020, 01:35 PM
Jul 2020

Maybe being required to wear a mask in Walmart will get more folks' attention. When the decision is finally made to cancel Razorback and high school football, more people will become aware.

TomSlick

(11,098 posts)
17. You make a point.
Wed Jul 15, 2020, 07:39 PM
Jul 2020

The last few seasons, the team name should have been changed to the Arkansas 'possums because of their propensity to roll over and play dead.

Nevertheless, the die-hard fans will be furious if there are no games. They will be looking for someone to blame.

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