NY-12: Maloney lead down to 1%

[RandySF]

Link to tweet

?s=21

[jorgevlorgan]

1. Not too optimistic about his chances as the absentee ballots are likely to skew older and whiter

But they might not, and that would be really bad for Maloney.

[Polybius]

3. 18 to 30 year olds are the most liberal group

Because of that, they are probably the most Covid-cautious. Many probably voted mail-in.

[jorgevlorgan]

4. good point!

I'll be interested to see how this goes!

[TexasTowelie]

2. 45,000 people voted in the 2018 Democratic primary.

Only 37,000 votes here and there is a presidential primary this year. It looks like a lot of absentee ballots remaining to count. I agree with the poster above that the remaining ballots are more likely to skew to older voters who decided to absentee vote due to the pandemic.