Nate Silver's updated national polling average has Biden +8.4

[highplainsdem]

Link to tweet

[Eliot Rosewater]

1. ...

42% or more want to be killed by the virus
want their air and water to be ruined
want to torture Brown children at the border

want to kill Black people for the crime of being Black...

[Wellstone ruled]

2. Whoa!

What was 538 polling Clinton at this time in 2016? Much different set up,but,data is important.

Are State Internals really moving that hard to Biden?

If so,Fantastic.

[Johnny2X2X]

3. In 2016...

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/national-polls/

Hillary was up 42.1-36.4 on June 16th, 2016. + 5.7. They got really close, then she had a 7.5 lead in august before it tightening up towards the election. She was not at +8.4 ever. And I think right now there are a lot less undecideds that there were in 2016, you have 20% undecided in 2016 on June 16th. Right now you have about 10% undecideds, so about half.

And the states, Biden is outperforming Hillary, but the internals are where he's really beating her, he's doing so much better with the working class.

[NewJeffCT]

5. thanks for that background

I was pretty sure Hillary was never up a combined 8.4, but wasn't sure.

[Johnny2X2X]

6. Really early before nominations were won she was up big

But at no point in the Summer or Fall did she get to +8.0. And to get her to only +3 at the end, the FBI had to issue a statement saying she's under investigation a week before the election.

This is going great, GOTV and outwork the other side.

[Wellstone ruled]

8. Once again,wow.

Sorry,I forgot about the big undecided. After Election night,kind of tuned out,two months of working the phones and all the bullshit feedback from time to time,just needed a break.


That undecided was our target during the fall of 2016,so glad we are at 10,makes dialing for votes a whole lot easier. Can not wait,might get the gang together in late August and start up ASAP.

[Johnny2X2X]

4. This is great news

Biden has a real chance at a landslide.

[honest.abe]

7. The only number that bothers me in that list is PA. Biden should be up big there.

In fact the latest poll had Trump up by 4. Although that one was a ChangeResearch poll which is a shitty or possibly scam polling outfit.

PA is must win state for us. In fact I think whoever wins PA wins the election.