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***Breaking: Dow Futures Plunge 700 points As Virus Fears Mount** (Original Post) NewsCenter28 Jun 2020 OP
... 2naSalit Jun 2020 #1
This should be interesting, we're back at a thousand deaths a day now so we'll see uponit7771 Jun 2020 #2
I continue to be mystified. . . pat_k Jun 2020 #3
Mostly lies about vaccines. Turn to CNBC and damn near 100% of the comments about Q4 are based uponit7771 Jun 2020 #7
This was predictable back in March. Trump botched the response...and kept botching it. SunSeeker Jun 2020 #4
awwww Demovictory9 Jun 2020 #5
trumps failures has caused this duforsure Jun 2020 #6
Proof that the Dow is far more plugged into reality than Chump is. bullwinkle428 Jun 2020 #8
Senior spending is a large part of our economy. pwb Jun 2020 #9
The only money we are spending is on groceries and helping our families who are having a hard time. redstatebluegirl Jun 2020 #12
It's odd it isn't well below 20,000 Johnny2X2X Jun 2020 #10
This is pro-business CNBC commentator cramer warning investors about day traders empedocles Jun 2020 #11
It Should Not Be Below 20,000 ProfessorGAC Jun 2020 #20
DOW was almost 20,000 when Obama left office Johnny2X2X Jun 2020 #21
It's Too Simple ProfessorGAC Jun 2020 #22
WOW !! J Powell steps in and bounces the DOW off 10% from peak!? REALLY ?! Most manipulated ... uponit7771 Jun 2020 #13
And when trump loses in November, Powell and the Fed will stop propping up the market SoonerPride Jun 2020 #14
THIS !!! Dallas should be gotten rid of just because he react too much to Trump uponit7771 Jun 2020 #25
What did he say? muriel_volestrangler Jun 2020 #17
That instead of just buying Bond ETFs they're going to buy individual corporate bonds uponit7771 Jun 2020 #23
Biggest dead cat bounce I've seen. tinrobot Jun 2020 #15
S&P 500 is currently up 0.5% on the start of the day muriel_volestrangler Jun 2020 #16
It may go up today or next week, but by the end of the year, it will be down significantly. tinrobot Jun 2020 #18
I Just Shorted the Market Today Skraxx Jun 2020 #19
Good luck I was in spxs for a second bounced out because Jay Powell came in at the last minute uponit7771 Jun 2020 #24
Yeah, won't hold though, bandaid, won't spook me, I'll stick with the short, this thing is primed Skraxx Jun 2020 #26

pat_k

(9,313 posts)
3. I continue to be mystified. . .
Mon Jun 15, 2020, 02:09 AM
Jun 2020

. . . that the stock market remains so disconnected from the economy. (e.g., Russel 3000: 1440 June 16 2017, 1656 June 15 2018, 1697 June 14 2019, 1771 June 12 2020)

I could be way off, but it seems to me the drivers are greed and magical thinking. Too many have an irrational belief in some sort of midas touch that can't end because it must not end. They might be right. Taxpayers may continue to prop market investors up at the expense of themselves and vital services. And who can blame them? Their IRAs are in the mix.

At some point, the "chickens come home to roost."

The market may take another deep dive tomorrow, but I think greed will drive investors to jump back in -- like a bunch of lemmings.

"The market" doesn't represent economic realities "on the ground." But Trump keeps touting it as the be all end all measure of "success." Somehow, we need to inject reality. Is there an alternate, simple, easy to understand, measure that demonstrates the reality for a vast majority of Americans?

uponit7771

(90,364 posts)
7. Mostly lies about vaccines. Turn to CNBC and damn near 100% of the comments about Q4 are based
Mon Jun 15, 2020, 08:11 AM
Jun 2020

... on a vaccine coming by Q4.

Fauci didn't help by saying its conceivable that a vaccine can come by Q4 but didn't mention the probability of it.

It's conceivable I can dunk on Lebron James more than 10 times ... lol not probable with a spur on my hip

SunSeeker

(51,715 posts)
4. This was predictable back in March. Trump botched the response...and kept botching it.
Mon Jun 15, 2020, 03:26 AM
Jun 2020

I am amazed some traders did not see that until now.

duforsure

(11,885 posts)
6. trumps failures has caused this
Mon Jun 15, 2020, 06:22 AM
Jun 2020

And he and the GOP by stalling getting direct checks to the people are now driving us into a depression. Businesses and bankruptcies will be soon be really making the news and market drop as the truth exposes trump and the GOP failures. Trump is stiffing the American people now while he demands he gets more stimulus money for himself. When Mnuchin gets exposed for corruption , and funneling money to himself and trump using others, they'll be making up new excuses after they get caught.

pwb

(11,291 posts)
9. Senior spending is a large part of our economy.
Mon Jun 15, 2020, 08:18 AM
Jun 2020

And they are staying put until people we trust lead us again. Seniors I know are hunkering down and spending only to help their children get through this Mess Trump put us in. American under Trump is No Country for Seniors

redstatebluegirl

(12,265 posts)
12. The only money we are spending is on groceries and helping our families who are having a hard time.
Mon Jun 15, 2020, 01:56 PM
Jun 2020

We are buying NOTHING right now and won't be for a while.

Johnny2X2X

(19,114 posts)
10. It's odd it isn't well below 20,000
Mon Jun 15, 2020, 08:18 AM
Jun 2020

Not sure what it is, I don't think it's really based on the economy right now, there just might be no good place to put money right now. We're looking at the worst economy in generations, eventually the Stock Markets will reflect that.

empedocles

(15,751 posts)
11. This is pro-business CNBC commentator cramer warning investors about day traders
Mon Jun 15, 2020, 08:29 AM
Jun 2020
http://from.flipboard.com/@CNBC?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.cnbc.com%2F2020%2F06%2F09%2

'Cramer-on-rampant-market-speculation-ive-never-seen-so-many-games-played-with-stocks'.

html&v=45cEsB1VFvc4N4iq9kBLCfqqhZXrWBPbnsyDWmpo1YYAAAFyt_Bhlg

ProfessorGAC

(65,191 posts)
20. It Should Not Be Below 20,000
Mon Jun 15, 2020, 04:03 PM
Jun 2020

That's wishful, "look what Trump did" thinking.
But, it was nearly 19,000 when Obama left office.
Even ignoring the unwarranted tax cuts, the profitability of the companies big enough to be on those indices is more than acceptable to support a 35% rise over 3.5 years. 9.8% per year, or so. That's less than the last 81 months under Obama.
The virus caused a panic sell-off, and then recovered to where it should be.
It never should been nearly 30,000.
Right now, it's a little overvalued with bargain hunters going back in for long term holding and the overly optimistic think they'll make some short term gain. I'd say it's overvalued by 800-1200 points. 4%, give or taie
S&P and the Russell are proportionally similar.

Johnny2X2X

(19,114 posts)
21. DOW was almost 20,000 when Obama left office
Mon Jun 15, 2020, 04:18 PM
Jun 2020

PE ratio has been out of wack and due for a correct for several years. Historic averages have it at 16 (DOW), it's currently close to 22, price vs earnings is all wrong an indicates we're at least 7000 points too high for the DOW. Expect earnings reports for the rest of the year to be absolutely catastrophic.

P/E ratio is the simplest formula to assign value. You've got companies way way over valued for the paltry earnings per share they bring in. It's not sustainable and you're going to see the PE ratio sky rocket the next 6 months to uncharted territories.

ProfessorGAC

(65,191 posts)
22. It's Too Simple
Mon Jun 15, 2020, 05:24 PM
Jun 2020

Ignoring macroeconomic factors distorts the result. P/E is, in fact, a poor way to determine true economic performance.
P/E was falling over the past couple decades as debt load increased. And, many firms decreased dividends under the justification that rising stock prices compensated.
Dividends got cut by more than the delta in stock price change, so the ratio fell a bit.
There are a half dozen other factors that reduced earnings and they're interactive in the model.
The market is now 6-7% above economic equilibrium. That's 4% above the upper range of the 95% confidence interval of the equilibrium calculation.
It is not overvalued by 7,000 on DJIA.

uponit7771

(90,364 posts)
13. WOW !! J Powell steps in and bounces the DOW off 10% from peak!? REALLY ?! Most manipulated ...
Mon Jun 15, 2020, 02:49 PM
Jun 2020

... market I've ever seen

SoonerPride

(12,286 posts)
14. And when trump loses in November, Powell and the Fed will stop propping up the market
Mon Jun 15, 2020, 03:12 PM
Jun 2020

And the press will blame the market crash on electing Pres. Biden.

Just you watch.

uponit7771

(90,364 posts)
23. That instead of just buying Bond ETFs they're going to buy individual corporate bonds
Mon Jun 15, 2020, 06:17 PM
Jun 2020

... meaning the feds are going to start picking winners and losers in the corporate bond market this is disgusting they're not even allowed to do this legally

muriel_volestrangler

(101,361 posts)
16. S&P 500 is currently up 0.5% on the start of the day
Mon Jun 15, 2020, 03:45 PM
Jun 2020

and was when you posted. What exactly are you saying?

tinrobot

(10,916 posts)
18. It may go up today or next week, but by the end of the year, it will be down significantly.
Mon Jun 15, 2020, 03:54 PM
Jun 2020

That's what I'm saying.

uponit7771

(90,364 posts)
24. Good luck I was in spxs for a second bounced out because Jay Powell came in at the last minute
Mon Jun 15, 2020, 06:18 PM
Jun 2020

... and told Wall Street they're buying individual bonds instead of buying individual stocks right when the market was about to roll over back down towards 10% from the peak which would have been Fair

Skraxx

(2,982 posts)
26. Yeah, won't hold though, bandaid, won't spook me, I'll stick with the short, this thing is primed
Mon Jun 15, 2020, 07:04 PM
Jun 2020

For catastrophe, a real house of cards.

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