New PPP Massachusetts poll: Warren rebounds

[highplainsdem]

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/09/warren-rebounds.html

Things have been going Elizabeth Warren's way in the Massachusetts Senate race over the last month. She's gained 7 points and now leads Scott Brown 48-46 after trailing him by a 49-44 margin on our last poll.

Warren's gaining because Democratic voters are coming back into the fold. Last month she led only 73-20 with Democrats. Now she's up 81-13. That explains basically the entire difference between the two polls. There are plenty of Democrats who like Scott Brown- 29% approve of him- but fewer are now willing to vote for him. That's probably because of another finding on our poll- 53% of voters want Democrats to have control of the Senate compared to only 36% who want Republicans in charge. More and more Democrats who may like Brown are shifting to Warren because they don't like the prospect of a GOP controlled Senate.

Brown's approval numbers have actually improved since our poll last month. 55% of voters approve of him to 34% who disapprove. He continues to dominate the race with independents, leading 56-35, and he's taking 94% of the Republican vote. 56% of voters think he's ideologically 'about right' to only 29% who think he's too conservative. And 49% consider him to be more an 'independent voice for Massachusetts' than the 40% who think he's more a 'partisan voice for the national Republican Party.' Brown continues to be one of the more popular Senators in the country and he's doing what he needs to do in this campaign, but his party label may end up being more than he can overcome.

Warren's image has seen some improvement in the last month. She has a +8 net favorability at 51/43, up 5 points from last month when she was at 46/43. That reverses the trend of her numbers falling in every poll we'd done this year up until now. Again the difference is Democrats becoming more enthusiastic about her. She's gone from a 75/16 spread with them last month now up to an 81/12 one.

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Emphasis added.

[julian09]

1. Brown votes with Dems on inconsequential issues, to appear independent, He is still Wall Streets #1

senator. Elizabeth has a long track record of working for middle class and poor, don't abandon her now, put her in position to continue her work on our behalf. She is not self centered and shallow but dedicated to fairness and creating a even playing field.

[flamingdem]

2. He's no moderate n/t