BREAKING: Joe Biden is leading President Trump by 13 points in a new poll.

[Demovictory9]

Link to tweet

[SoonerPride]

1. Which poll? State? National?

[Demovictory9]

2. ..

[still_one]

4. Has to be national

[DURHAM D]

5. Apparently it is this -

Link to tweet

[Thekaspervote]

9. If it's Zogby, wow!! That guy is very right leaning

[scarletwoman]

3. Which poll? Who did the poll? What dates was it taken?

Sorry, but a statement from someone on Twitter with no details just isn't useful information.

[madinmaryland]

6. But Danny on twitter knows everythiNg! 😂😂😂😂

[BGBD]

7. He's talking

about the Zogby poll that came out yesterday.

Biden 53, Trump 40

[Beakybird]

8. Zogby polls are all over the place.

[BGBD]

11. Yeah

Zogby is awful. Usually they have a pretty heavy R lean though, so its interesting they put this one out there. They also matched Clinton against Trump and she was only up 3, so they are saying a number of people surveyed in this poll who would vote for Biden, but not Clinton.

[polmaven]

10. But what about the EC?

The Electoral College is what got him there in 2016. Don't forget Hillary won the popular vote by a large amount!

[Lock him up.]

12. Here's a map (not all up to date, but...)

https://electoral-vote.com/



For example, Nevada hasn't been updated since February, but Florida & Georgia are kind of recent.




That site keeps track of pretty most all the polls. Looking Blue Tsunami coming up, but no complacency!

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/

[SoonerPride]

15. Love the info. Thanks!!

[BGBD]

16. That's an interesting map...

but why so much confidence in Wisconsin? It's probably the the right of PA, MI, MN, NV, and even AZ. Arizona is a good alternative to WI, EC speaking, since winning either would have the same effect.

I kind of think Biden takes the Lake States, but I'd have WI as a most light blue than the states I just mentioned.

[BGBD]

17. I think what this site is doing

https://www.ourprogress.org/forecast

[Lock him up.]

18. TY that's a nice site! n/t

[mnmoderatedem]

20. So Georgia is actually a slight Biden lean at this pint?

How sweet would that be?

[brer cat]

23. Don't underestimate Kemp's ability

to ratf$&% the election. He didn't beat Abrams by a fair election.

[BGBD]

13. If the race

were 13 points, the EC wouldn't be a concern. Biden would end up winning in places like Montana if he were willing that big nationally He'd probably be pushing 400 EC delegates.

Trump likely has an EC advantage, but it won't be enough to win if he doesn't keep it within 3 % or so. He barely beat Clinton and she was only ahead 2%.

Honestly this race has been incredibly stable while the 2016 race was a roller coaster of Clinton getting a lead and then falling back to even. Biden has been at the same +7% for a year and nothing that has happened has moved polling much at all. This is a much different race than 2016 was and Trump doesn't look to me like he is as effective at running the race as President was he was running as an outsider who could just shitpost about how bad things were. Now he's the one who is in charge of the shit show, so it doesn't have the same dynamic. You can tell that he is getting frustrated that his attacks on Biden haven't registered and he is slipping instead.

Biden had a gaffe with "you ain't black." and in the middle of trying capitalize on that Trump managed to send out a bunch of tweets about how he'd like to see the cops and military start shooting black people in the streets. Not good.

[uponit7771]

14. NICE!! If its a national or non swing state poll its nearly meaningless, we need swing state polling

[Lock him up.]

24. 538 has an array of them with polling orgs reliability rated A to D

There are new polls almost daily with dates. State abreviation in front (first column) when it's a state poll.

Looking good so far, but no complacency. Remember what happened four years ago (although there's no Comey this year)!

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/

[nsd]

19. If you're going to post, please include the poll name and a link.

Otherwise, please wait.

[Cha]

21. This says Zogby..

Link to tweet

[Tarheel_Dem]

22. I don't doubt VP Biden is leading Drumpf nationally, but I wouldn't line a bird cage with a Zogby...

poll.