This 2020 presidential forecast says Trump faces historic defeat due to terrible economy
President Donald Trump could suffer a historic defeat in the fall if the economy doesn’t sharply recover from the coronavirus pandemic and the disease lingers, according to a model that has predicted the winner of the popular vote in 16 of the past 18 elections.
Oxford Economics predicts Trump would lose to Democrat Joe Biden by a margin of 65% to 35%, using a model based on the pioneering political-forecasting work of Yale economist Ray Fair.
How bad is that? William Howard Taft was the last president running for reelection to win fewer than 35% of the vote, when he finished third in 1912 behind Woodrow Wilson and Theodore Roosevelt.
The Oxford model primarily relies on key economic barometers such as inflation, the unemployment rate and inflation-adjusted disposable income to generate its forecast.
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/elections-2020/this-2020-presidential-forecast-says-trump-faces-historic-defeat-due-to-terrible-economy/ar-BB14m1GH?li=BBnb7Kz
Let's not forget his inept response to the C19 pandemic.
