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G_j

(40,367 posts)
Thu May 21, 2020, 07:57 AM May 2020

Lockdown Delays Cost at Least 36,000 Lives, Data Show

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.nytimes.com/2020/05/20/us/coronavirus-distancing-deaths.amp.html

Even small differences in timing would have prevented the worst exponential growth, which by April had subsumed New York City, New Orleans and other major cities, researchers found.

By James Glanz and Campbell Robertson

Published May 20, 2020
Updated May 21, 2020, 12:16 a.m. ET


If the United States had begun imposing social distancing measures one week earlier than it did in March, about 36,000 fewer people would have died in the coronavirus outbreak, according to new estimates from Columbia University disease modelers.

And if the country had begun locking down cities and limiting social contact on March 1, two weeks earlier than most people started staying home, the vast majority of the nation’s deaths — about 83 percent — would have been avoided, the researchers estimated.

Under that scenario, about 54,000 fewer people would have died by early May.

The enormous cost of waiting to take action reflects the unforgiving dynamics of the outbreak that swept through American cities in early March. Even small differences in timing would have prevented the worst exponential growth, which by April had subsumed New York City, New Orleans and other major cities, the researchers found.
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Lockdown Delays Cost at Least 36,000 Lives, Data Show (Original Post) G_j May 2020 OP
As Many As 54,000!! ProfessorGAC May 2020 #1
I noticed that also G_j May 2020 #2
The trump toll empedocles May 2020 #3
Heckuva job Trumpy Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin May 2020 #4

ProfessorGAC

(65,076 posts)
1. As Many As 54,000!!
Thu May 21, 2020, 08:00 AM
May 2020

Third paragraph.
36,000 if shutdowns started one week earlier.
54,000 if March 1!
We knew the virus was here more than a month prior to March 1, so it was possible to have done.

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