Welcome to DU!
The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards.
Join the community:
Create a free account
Support DU (and get rid of ads!):
Become a Star Member
Latest Breaking News
General Discussion
The DU Lounge
All Forums
Issue Forums
Culture Forums
Alliance Forums
Region Forums
Support Forums
Help & Search
General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsLockdown Delays Cost at Least 36,000 Lives, Data Show
https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.nytimes.com/2020/05/20/us/coronavirus-distancing-deaths.amp.htmlEven small differences in timing would have prevented the worst exponential growth, which by April had subsumed New York City, New Orleans and other major cities, researchers found.
By James Glanz and Campbell Robertson
Published May 20, 2020
Updated May 21, 2020, 12:16 a.m. ET
If the United States had begun imposing social distancing measures one week earlier than it did in March, about 36,000 fewer people would have died in the coronavirus outbreak, according to new estimates from Columbia University disease modelers.
And if the country had begun locking down cities and limiting social contact on March 1, two weeks earlier than most people started staying home, the vast majority of the nations deaths about 83 percent would have been avoided, the researchers estimated.
Under that scenario, about 54,000 fewer people would have died by early May.
The enormous cost of waiting to take action reflects the unforgiving dynamics of the outbreak that swept through American cities in early March. Even small differences in timing would have prevented the worst exponential growth, which by April had subsumed New York City, New Orleans and other major cities, the researchers found.
InfoView thread info, including edit history
TrashPut this thread in your Trash Can (My DU » Trash Can)
BookmarkAdd this thread to your Bookmarks (My DU » Bookmarks)
4 replies, 398 views
ShareGet links to this post and/or share on social media
AlertAlert this post for a rule violation
PowersThere are no powers you can use on this post
EditCannot edit other people's posts
ReplyReply to this post
EditCannot edit other people's posts
Rec (4)
ReplyReply to this post
4 replies
= new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight:
NoneDon't highlight anything
5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Lockdown Delays Cost at Least 36,000 Lives, Data Show (Original Post)
G_j
May 2020
OP
ProfessorGAC
(65,076 posts)1. As Many As 54,000!!
Third paragraph.
36,000 if shutdowns started one week earlier.
54,000 if March 1!
We knew the virus was here more than a month prior to March 1, so it was possible to have done.
G_j
(40,367 posts)2. I noticed that also
seems they are opting for the conservative number.
empedocles
(15,751 posts)3. The trump toll
Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin
(108,035 posts)4. Heckuva job Trumpy