Study projects US COVID-19 deaths to triple by end of year
A new study suggests the number of Americans who will die after contracting the novel coronavirus is likely to more than triple by the end of the year, even if current social-distancing habits continue for months on end. The study, conducted by the Comparative Health Outcomes, Policy and Economics Institute at the University of Washington's School of Pharmacy, found that 1.3 percent of those who show symptoms of the COVID-19 disease caused by the virus die, an infection fatality rate that is 13 times higher than a bad influenza season.
If the infection fatality rate is accurate, and if the coronavirus continues spreading at current rates even before most states open their economies and relax social-distancing restrictions,
the COVID-19 disease could claim between 350,000 and 1.2 million American lives by the end of this year.
Even as states begin reopening, many are experiencing a rapid increase in the number of new cases. States like Alabama, Arkansas, Maine, Minnesota, North Carolina and North Dakota have seen their numbers of cases spike by more than 25 percent over the last two weeks, according to data collected by a group of researchers in a collaboration called the Covid Exit Strategy.
The United States is confirming about 20,000 new coronavirus cases a day, according to data maintained by The Covid Tracking Project. That figure is down from earlier this month, when about 25,000 new cases were showing up on a daily basis, a positive step but one that still shows community transmission is widespread.
Read more: https://thehill.com/policy/healthcare/498533-study-projects-us-covid-19-deaths-to-triple-by-end-of-year