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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsBill Clinton polling guru pinpoints surprising states Biden can lock down to derail Trump's re-elect
Bill Clinton polling guru pinpoints surprising states Biden can lock down to derail Trumps re-election bidPublished 2 mins ago
on May 17, 2020
By Tom Boggioni
According to former President Bill Clintons political director, the path to the White House for presumptive Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden is becoming clearer as polling shows that Donald Trump is hurting in some normally reliable Republican-leaning or pivotal swing states.
In the report, obtained by Axios, Doug Sosnik said the Rust Belt states already listed as key to both campaigns Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin are still in play but that Trump is in danger of losing at least two of the three, in part because of the coronavirus pandemic.
snip
With that in mind, Sosnik laid out Bidens best path to the White House, according to Axios:.
Michigan, Pennsylvania and Arizona: Biden wins all three states his best option, given the political environment. (Map)
Michigan and Pennsylvania + two congressional districts Nebraska-02 and Maine-02. (Map)
The Rust Belt: Biden wins Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. (Map)
Michigan and the Sunbelt: Biden carries Michigan, Arizona and North Carolina. (Map)
Florida +1: Biden carries Florida, getting him to 261 electoral votes.
A win in any of the other battleground states would put him well past 270. (Map)
Michigan, Pennsylvania and Arizona: Biden wins all three states his best option, given the political environment. (Map)
Michigan and Pennsylvania + two congressional districts Nebraska-02 and Maine-02. (Map)
The Rust Belt: Biden wins Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. (Map)
Michigan and the Sunbelt: Biden carries Michigan, Arizona and North Carolina. (Map)
Florida +1: Biden carries Florida, getting him to 261 electoral votes.
A win in any of the other battleground states would put him well past 270. (Map)
https://www.rawstory.com/2020/05/bill-clinton-polling-guru-pinpoints-surprising-states-biden-can-lock-down-to-derail-trumps-re-election-bid/
The full report is here:
https://www.axios.com/doug-sosnik-electoral-realignment-trump-biden-c4efd9cd-ba41-4f75-ac12-412ca2e6f0ba.html
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I hope we Michiganders fuck up his chances on November 3 as much as he's fucked with our CV-19 supplies.
On edit:
This is my favorite part of his study:
The bottom line: Biden's best strategy:
Make putting Michigan out of reach for Trump the top priority.
Make putting Michigan out of reach for Trump the top priority.
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Bill Clinton polling guru pinpoints surprising states Biden can lock down to derail Trump's re-elect (Original Post)
catbyte
May 2020
OP
This should be like 2008, when any idiot with a "D" could have won the presidency.
JustABozoOnThisBus
May 2020
#1
JustABozoOnThisBus
(23,350 posts)1. This should be like 2008, when any idiot with a "D" could have won the presidency.
Our only problem in 2008 was in having two very capable candidates. Only one could become president of course. The other became secretary of state.
After eight years of GWB, the dem, whether HRC or BHO, was a shoo-in.
2020 should be like that.
Demsrule86
(68,586 posts)2. Excellent news!
Yep, Michigan is ours!
qazplm135
(7,447 posts)3. I don't see him losing Michigan or Pennsylvania
so focus hard on those two, and then hard on Wisconsin and Arizona as the top four states you are working.
Next level Florida, North Carolina and the two congressional districts
Test the waters on Georgia.
Texas will only tease us IMO.