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Recursion

(56,582 posts)
Thu May 14, 2020, 04:46 AM May 2020

1 in every 413 residents of New York City has died from SarsCov2

Last edited Thu May 14, 2020, 08:25 AM - Edit history (2)

20,300 deaths out of 8.4 million residents, in the 2 months since the first death was recorded on March 14th.

That's worse than the Spanish Flu outbreak was at this point in its progress. And it happened with a lockdown. Most of the rest of the country is still on the upward swing.

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1 in every 413 residents of New York City has died from SarsCov2 (Original Post) Recursion May 2020 OP
And the actual number is higher JI7 May 2020 #1
Worse than the 1st wave of Spanish flu, but not the total, according to this muriel_volestrangler May 2020 #2
Sorry, yes: worse than *this point* at the Spanish Flu outbreak (nt) Recursion May 2020 #3
Makes me nervous Duppers May 2020 #4
That's an amazing statistic captain queeg May 2020 #5

muriel_volestrangler

(101,361 posts)
2. Worse than the 1st wave of Spanish flu, but not the total, according to this
Thu May 14, 2020, 05:32 AM
May 2020
New York reported its first death from the virus on September 15, 1918. After all three waves of Spanish Flu, about 33,000 New Yorkers out of a population of 5.6 million died, 21,000 of whom died during the second wave.

https://untappedcities.com/2020/03/17/how-nyc-survived-the-1918-spanish-flu-pandemic/

captain queeg

(10,240 posts)
5. That's an amazing statistic
Thu May 14, 2020, 11:49 AM
May 2020

Most everyone in NY will know someone who died. The spread in such a city would obviously be a lot faster than in smaller cities and rural areas but I don’t think the end results will ultimately be that different elsewhere. It’ll probably be a little better in places where health care is not overwhelmed and they’re probably making progress on treatment methods but if you project this out to the rest of the country it’s going to be bad. I think this “opening up” will lead to a huge surge and the Trumpers will try to hide it. Then it’ll be “who knew?” And more casting of blame. I imagine we’ll see a sort of plateau where there are around 30k new infections and 1000 deaths daily for months till we get to a vaccine. At least 100k more deaths and likely a lot more than that.

Like many of us have opined here a large part of the population is not going to take it serious till someone they know has died, and I think that will end up happening. But the problem is even those who know someone who died will assume once they’ve been sick and recovered they’ll be even smugger thinking that since they are now immune fuck everyone else. A sad commentary of our country.

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