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UncleNoel

(864 posts)
Tue May 12, 2020, 10:00 PM May 2020

POLL: Trump finally dipping to high thirties: Biden 46, Trump 38.

https://www.yahoo.com/news/trump-approval-dips-amid-mounting-233720845.html

Looking better, but need Biden plus 50 and Trump minus 40. Can't believe he still is in the 40s by any measure. Looking for a conflation of GE-Disapproval Biden 56%, Trump 38%, Then I will feel more comfortable!

Ipsos/Reuters
General Election: Unfortunately it is an All Adults not a likely Voters.
Biden 46% (compared with a 2-point Biden lead in Reuters/Ipsos polling last week)
Trump 38%

Approval Rating:

Disapprove: 56% (+5 from mid=April)
Approve: 41% (-4 from mid-April)

Not much good news for Trump down the line, but it is still early for GE nationwide predictions.

18 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
POLL: Trump finally dipping to high thirties: Biden 46, Trump 38. (Original Post) UncleNoel May 2020 OP
It's registered voters DrToast May 2020 #1
+1 uponit7771 May 2020 #14
Mother Trump won't like those numbers! imanamerican63 May 2020 #2
There's 14 percent unaccounted for jimfields33 May 2020 #3
that's not particularly unusual for this time of year Bucky May 2020 #12
Figure It's Really 8%, Jim ProfessorGAC May 2020 #15
Thanks. That's better. I rather know the percentage not going to either one jimfields33 May 2020 #17
In 2016, L & G Voters... ProfessorGAC May 2020 #18
TOO EARLY! elleng May 2020 #4
Polls are interesting. But I prefer the Democratic Party focuses on identifying our voters. OrlandoDem2 May 2020 #5
The 2008 and 2012 Obama campaigns Proud liberal 80 May 2020 #6
DIP LOWER DIPSHITE Cha May 2020 #7
Considering the fact that Biden hasn't even started campaigning yet...... calguy May 2020 #8
Biden is almost like the "unnamed" candidate in a poll. OrlandoDem2 May 2020 #9
Oh boy, tweetstorm tonite! captain queeg May 2020 #10
I saw digital idiot friends on FaceBook, frustrated that Los Angeles may not open up until August. C Moon May 2020 #11
38%! Hah! He finally got down to the number in my song! DFW May 2020 #13
and just think! mnmoderatedem May 2020 #16

DrToast

(6,414 posts)
1. It's registered voters
Tue May 12, 2020, 10:02 PM
May 2020
It also found that 46% of registered voters said they would back Biden in the Nov. 3 presidential election, while 38% would vote for Trump.

Bucky

(54,039 posts)
12. that's not particularly unusual for this time of year
Wed May 13, 2020, 01:55 AM
May 2020

But it does look like both candidates are "soft" - a dynamic VP nom will hopefully shore up Joe's numbers.

jimfields33

(15,896 posts)
17. Thanks. That's better. I rather know the percentage not going to either one
Wed May 13, 2020, 07:10 AM
May 2020

So we see what we’re working with. It actually looks good now with your explanation.

ProfessorGAC

(65,114 posts)
18. In 2016, L & G Voters...
Wed May 13, 2020, 07:36 AM
May 2020

...were around 6 & 3 million. 130 million people voted, so close to 7%, so I rounded down because some might commit to major parties.
In this poll, the segments might have included neither but they didn't bother to report that 6 or 7%.

OrlandoDem2

(2,066 posts)
5. Polls are interesting. But I prefer the Democratic Party focuses on identifying our voters.
Tue May 12, 2020, 10:23 PM
May 2020

After we analyze and ID voters we have to get them to the polls. The GOP is skilled at that. They have laser like precision and they are disciplined.

We must focus on jobs. If Joe Biden is asked about the sky, he needs to pivot to jobs.

I’ve seen Rick Scott, Ron DeSantis, and Trump do that. I’m sick of it.

Proud liberal 80

(4,167 posts)
6. The 2008 and 2012 Obama campaigns
Tue May 12, 2020, 10:26 PM
May 2020

We’re good at that, too....I don’t understand why we didn’t use that method in 2010, 2014, and 2016

calguy

(5,323 posts)
8. Considering the fact that Biden hasn't even started campaigning yet......
Tue May 12, 2020, 10:30 PM
May 2020

Those are pretty good numbers at this stage of the game. How bad do you have to be to have your ass handed to you as your opponent sits in his basement planning his campaign. Joe's doing it all right in my opinion.

OrlandoDem2

(2,066 posts)
9. Biden is almost like the "unnamed" candidate in a poll.
Tue May 12, 2020, 10:43 PM
May 2020

I will crawl over glass for 10 miles to vote for Joe.

I am frightened that when he starts campaigning he will come off as old and uninspiring. I pray it’s not true.

I’ve always thought that a silver lining in all this pandemic shit down is that Biden could sit back, relax, rest, and let Trump look like the idiot he is. He “only” has to endure the grueling campaign of presidential politics for 5-6 months.

C Moon

(12,219 posts)
11. I saw digital idiot friends on FaceBook, frustrated that Los Angeles may not open up until August.
Wed May 13, 2020, 01:05 AM
May 2020

They were saying (literally), "Since when do they quarantine healthy people."

That being said, I'm not surprised Trump has that kind of popularity.

mnmoderatedem

(3,728 posts)
16. and just think!
Wed May 13, 2020, 06:54 AM
May 2020

all it took was a pandemic killing thousands every day and could have been mitigated if trump were not sitting on his fat ass while it spread uncontrollably!

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