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brewens

(13,595 posts)
Sun May 10, 2020, 11:15 AM May 2020

Okay, so death projections were high but lockdowns worked and kept the numbers lower, so

it looked like the projections were way off. So now it was all for nothing and we should never have locked down and ruined the economy. It's now okay to rush back out, start spreading the virus around worse again, let the deaths ramp back up, and make the original projections right on the money. It may actually work out that way.

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Okay, so death projections were high but lockdowns worked and kept the numbers lower, so (Original Post) brewens May 2020 OP
this is what happens when there is no plan, no leadership, and conspiracy theories trump facts Takket May 2020 #1
That train has left the station jimfields33 May 2020 #2
K&R, Like a skydiver saying "this parachute worked great, I don't need it any more" & cutting cord uponit7771 May 2020 #3
Here in Naples Fl snowybirdie May 2020 #4
That all depends on which estimates you are talking about Chainfire May 2020 #5
We are at 80,000 dead and 2000/day. Voltaire2 May 2020 #6
I don't understand where these numbers stillcool May 2020 #7
no one said those deaths had to happen in this short window bigtree May 2020 #8

Takket

(21,577 posts)
1. this is what happens when there is no plan, no leadership, and conspiracy theories trump facts
Sun May 10, 2020, 11:18 AM
May 2020

pun intentional..........

jimfields33

(15,823 posts)
2. That train has left the station
Sun May 10, 2020, 11:19 AM
May 2020

I knew red states were going to ruin everything, but blue states decided to jump onboard. Rhode Island is a real mystery. The reason is people in at least 5 states shut down can get to Rhode Island in a few hours at most. We will have to wait and see how everything turns out.

snowybirdie

(5,229 posts)
4. Here in Naples Fl
Sun May 10, 2020, 11:26 AM
May 2020

they just reclosed the beaches. Too many people showed up and do beaches are now closed indefinitely. Damn idiots!

Chainfire

(17,549 posts)
5. That all depends on which estimates you are talking about
Sun May 10, 2020, 11:27 AM
May 2020

I just came back from looking at the statistics for my state (Florida) The death rates are still rising at about the same rate they were three weeks ago. I suspect that is it is going to be increasing noticeably soon because people have become bored with protecting themselves and the governor is pushing premature opening of businesses.

When you look at a variety of estimates it is usually wise to discard the lowest and the highest. For instance, I believe the estimate of 1-2 million was made on a political, rather than a scientific basis. If you estimate that a million may die, and only a hundred thousand do, then you can claim great success in defeating the disease.

We are now sitting around the 80,00 death number. In February, we would have considered that number horrifying, now it is just another stat.

Voltaire2

(13,061 posts)
6. We are at 80,000 dead and 2000/day.
Sun May 10, 2020, 11:33 AM
May 2020

The estimates were and are accurate enough.

The next three months are going to be “interesting” as we are likely to see the death rate climb and we will be well over 100,000.

The complete lack of widespread testing, mandatory quarantine for infected individuals, and contact tracing pretty much guarantees an absolute clusterfuck by early fall.

stillcool

(32,626 posts)
7. I don't understand where these numbers
Sun May 10, 2020, 12:25 PM
May 2020

come from. People die at home, untested, and how do they figure how many people have the virus? I guess, like everything else it's all about creating a perception.

bigtree

(85,998 posts)
8. no one said those deaths had to happen in this short window
Sun May 10, 2020, 12:50 PM
May 2020

...extrapolate out from here and you have a rising threat, not to mention states like Nebraska who haven't really tested would skew that total way up and should terrify us.

Your premise is dead wrong about the numbers being, 'way off.'

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