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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsObama Is Trading At 65% On Intrade
http://www.intrade.com/v4/home/There's a whole bunch of Marist/NBC polls coming out tonight.Think someone got a peak.
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Obama Is Trading At 65% On Intrade (Original Post)
DemocratSinceBirth
Sep 2012
OP
That's higher than a couple of days ago. So Rmoney's "Smirktober Surprise" doesn't seem
Guy Whitey Corngood
Sep 2012
#3
barbtries
(28,811 posts)1. i don't get what this is.
do people actually make and lose money on this? forgive my ignorance...
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,711 posts)2. It's Very Accurate
Because people have to put their money where their mouths are.
It's like betting on any other event.
gcomeau
(5,764 posts)6. nitpick...
It is an accurate reflection of what people who spend money betting on this stuff *think* is going to happen... right now.
That's not the same thing as being accurately predictive if whether they'll actually be right. Use caution when using Intrade as any kind of forward looking predictive mechanism.
Logical
(22,457 posts)8. BS, look at obamacare vote!
Guy Whitey Corngood
(26,505 posts)3. That's higher than a couple of days ago. So Rmoney's "Smirktober Surprise" doesn't seem
to be the "game changer" the psychotic right was hoping for.
2pooped2pop
(5,420 posts)4. that's up almost 10 points from right before
Repiglican convention to now. I'm thinking he was at 54 but had been as high as 57.
renie408
(9,854 posts)5. I have been watching since yesterday morning. Obama has been moving steadily up since
Romney made his comments Tuesday night.
Logical
(22,457 posts)7. Intrade means nothing!