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A Natural Coronavirus Experiment Is Playing Out In Kentucky And Tennessee
http://www.buzzfeednews.com/article/danvergano/coronavirus-kentucky-tennessee-social-distancingA natural experiment in stopping the spread of the novel coronavirus is playing out on the border between Kentucky and Tennessee, where an early start to social distancing is pitted against a late one.
As of Tuesday, Kentucky is now reporting 1,008 cases and 59 deaths, while Tennessee is reporting 3,802 cases and 65 deaths. Kentucky Gov. Andy Beshear declared a state of emergency on March 6, while neighboring Tennessee’s Bill Lee waited until March 12, and then took until the end of the month to suggest people stay at home. The two approaches led to two drastically different outcomes playing out on the national stage.
"Honestly, it was just a matter of curiosity,” said Stephanie Jolly, a Kentucky resident and educator whose plot of the contrasting timelines and COVID-19 case numbers went viral on Facebook. Inspired by a now-famous chart depicting the stark difference in deaths between the early shutdown of St. Louis and the late one in Philadelphia during the 1918 influenza pandemic, she set out to make her chart looking for a modern-day comparison. St. Louis saw only 1,703 deaths from the influenza pandemic, while Philadelphia suffered the worst fatality rate in the nation, with over 16,000 people dead in six months.
As of Tuesday, Kentucky is now reporting 1,008 cases and 59 deaths, while Tennessee is reporting 3,802 cases and 65 deaths. Kentucky Gov. Andy Beshear declared a state of emergency on March 6, while neighboring Tennessee’s Bill Lee waited until March 12, and then took until the end of the month to suggest people stay at home. The two approaches led to two drastically different outcomes playing out on the national stage.
"Honestly, it was just a matter of curiosity,” said Stephanie Jolly, a Kentucky resident and educator whose plot of the contrasting timelines and COVID-19 case numbers went viral on Facebook. Inspired by a now-famous chart depicting the stark difference in deaths between the early shutdown of St. Louis and the late one in Philadelphia during the 1918 influenza pandemic, she set out to make her chart looking for a modern-day comparison. St. Louis saw only 1,703 deaths from the influenza pandemic, while Philadelphia suffered the worst fatality rate in the nation, with over 16,000 people dead in six months.
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