Just doing the math: Best case scenario, one hundred thousand deaths by the 1st of June.

[shockey80]

Yesterday there was over 1,500 deaths and we have not reached the peak yet. New York may not peak for a few weeks. Many other states will not peak until sometime in may or later.

If the death toll climbs to 2000 per day that would be 120,000 deaths in two months.

This is going to get real ugly. There will come a point where many Trump voters will turn on Trump. The virus is going to come to rural Trumps voters. Republican led states, southern states, are going to have a very hard time dealing with this virus.

They have gutted state government. They have gutted their healthcare system, They have closed hospitals. They have gutted their social safety net and they are led by governors who watch Fox News and worship Trump.

[berni_mccoy]

1. Agreed. And that is with linear progression.

It will likely be higher because it’s not linear, it’s geometric.

[gibraltar72]

2. Heroic efforts will save many. But they will be left with many ailments that will never heal.

[unblock]

4. Yes, no one is talking about the lung damage survivors will have

Survivors of severe cases may be at much greater risk of problems down the road.

Even when this is "over," it may continue to kill....

[beachbumbob]

3. what about the deaths that are non-virus related like heat attacks/strokes that just aren't

able to be treated because of ER/ICU overload?

Can't forget about those numbers at all either

[Books_Tea_Alone]

5. Yes your math may be wrong because it's exponential

Look at how the rate doubles every few days- here in NYC/NNJ area this is how it is progressing. Double the total twice a week and see what number you get. Staggering.

[shockey80]

7. That's why I said best case scenario.

[robbob]

6. We are seeing a doubling in total fatalities

every 3-5 days. Which means, if that trend continues, over 100,000 dead in 12-15 days. Other analysis’s say there is an average increase of 1.15 (15%) every day, which means well over 100,000 fatalities in 20 days. Let’s hope something dramatically slows down these numbers, or it will be over 1,000,000 by the end of May.

[Paladin]

8. Face it: a "best case scenario" is wishful thinking.

With the trump crime family in fumbling, vengeful control, we'll be lucky if the deaths don't exceed 500,000. Sorry for the downer sentiment, but we need to be realistic---and act accordingly.

[Dan]

9. Well as someone said

(Don’t know who) - the rural Trump voters hate POC more than they love their feet.

So, I think that regardless of how many will die in Trumpland, their hatred of POC will see them through and keep them faithful to the racist-in-chief. Trump truly is their wet dream.