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The Daily Dread - Statistics. Where it stands today. (Original Post) calimary Apr 2020 OP
multiply by 1.15 - that's where we are likely to be tonight in confirmed cases NRaleighLiberal Apr 2020 #1
It dropped to 1.14 today. Ms. Toad Apr 2020 #8
still slowly ticking up - I am using the 1point3acres info. 1.141 or so. NRaleighLiberal Apr 2020 #9
Mine was 1.40418 Ms. Toad Apr 2020 #10
First update calimary Apr 2020 #2
Second update calimary Apr 2020 #3
And at 1:45 pm: Ilsa Apr 2020 #4
You bring up another good point, Ilsa. And an appropriate reminder. calimary Apr 2020 #5
I've been using Worldometer, Ilsa Apr 2020 #6
Yet another update... calimary Apr 2020 #7

NRaleighLiberal

(60,020 posts)
1. multiply by 1.15 - that's where we are likely to be tonight in confirmed cases
Wed Apr 1, 2020, 10:29 AM
Apr 2020

that factor has held steady for 3 days now.

Ms. Toad

(34,090 posts)
8. It dropped to 1.14 today.
Wed Apr 1, 2020, 10:30 PM
Apr 2020

Last night's formula was only 20 new cases off from tonight's confirmed cases.

calimary

(81,475 posts)
2. First update
Wed Apr 1, 2020, 10:47 AM
Apr 2020

At 6:35am (all times Pacific)
Confirmed cases: 188,684
Deaths - 3,907

At 7:44am
Confirmed cases: 189,090
Deaths - 3,923

calimary

(81,475 posts)
3. Second update
Wed Apr 1, 2020, 01:39 PM
Apr 2020

At 6:35am (all times Pacific)
Confirmed cases - 188,684
Deaths - 3,907

At 7:44am
Confirmed cases - 189,090
Deaths - 3,923

At 10:34am
Confirmed cases - 201,775 (passed the 200-thousand mark)
Deaths - 4,441 (passed the 4,000 mark)


Ilsa

(61,698 posts)
4. And at 1:45 pm:
Wed Apr 1, 2020, 01:42 PM
Apr 2020

Cases: 205,036 The US has over 16,000 new cases today.

Deaths: 4,516

Worldwide cases: 912, 098

Deaths: 45,540

calimary

(81,475 posts)
5. You bring up another good point, Ilsa. And an appropriate reminder.
Wed Apr 1, 2020, 03:29 PM
Apr 2020

I think your post here is in Eastern time?

What's your source? I noticed when we switched to CNN that they had different numbers than what I just saw on MSNBC. I've mentioned before - these statistics threads definitely do NOT follow an immaculate scientific-method protocol of data tracking. They're mainly from MSNBC, only because that's what I'm ordinarily used to watching a majority of the time. So I'm using their stats. I have not checked back and forth each time to see what CNN or some other source offered at the same time, and then tried to average those numbers. I can't get too far "down in the weeds" because it'll make me nuts!

For example, we were watching CNN at 11:30am, Pacific time, and CNN's numbers were:
Confirmed cases: 203,100
Deaths: 4,473

A few minutes later (11:37am) we switched to MSNBC and its numbers were:
Confirmed cases: 203,788
Deaths: 4,503

MAINLY, I'm interested in tracking the rate of increase. I guess I'm morbidly curious about how bad this is and how fast it's getting worse. In roughly the same time of checking, the two different networks' numbers tracked similarly. The numbers vary a little, but wherever they come from, they indicate the upward trend and rate-of-increase in time.

Just a little "science note" from one who's sometimes hung up on the fine print...

Ilsa

(61,698 posts)
6. I've been using Worldometer,
Wed Apr 1, 2020, 05:42 PM
Apr 2020

and their sources largely appear to be individual state departments of health.

calimary

(81,475 posts)
7. Yet another update...
Wed Apr 1, 2020, 10:29 PM
Apr 2020

At 6:35am (all times Pacific)
Confirmed cases - 188,684
Deaths - 3,907

At 7:44am
Confirmed cases - 189,090
Deaths - 3,923

At 10:34am
Confirmed cases - 201,775 (passed the 200-thousand mark)
Deaths - 4,441 (passed the 4,000 mark)

At 6:31pm
Confirmed cases - 211,149 (more than 22-thousand new cases, just today, at least according to these particular metrics.)
Deaths - 4,735 (we've gone up almost a thousand deaths).

My mind is blown.

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