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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsDisturbing Covid-19 trend if we're on Italy's trajectory, playing with the numbers
We could be staring down at a very realistic 53,000 - 237,000 deaths before the tolls begin to subside and there's no evidence that either this republican administration will do anything to prevent that from happening.
If you look at how we're moving up in the deaths per 1 million people category, you'll notice we've gone from 2 deaths/1 M to 7 in a matter of days. We know we don't have proper testing because tRump has dismantled or fired our pandemic security investigators, leaving our country directionless. We have little in the way of testing to accurately determine how bad we really are, so 237,000 dead could be a drop in the bucket.
Right now, Italy's deaths per 1 M stand at 166. Doing the math, they are 23.71 times higher than us as we climb.
If anything, republican incompetence will likely increase the probability that this will be one of the great preventable tragedies in our nation's history, had we just elected Hillary Clinton and more supposedly unlikable democrats at every opportunity.
...According to a previously unrevealed White House playbook, the government shouldve begun a federal-wide effort to procure that personal protective equipment at least two months ago.
But Trumps aides were told to expect a potential pandemic, ranging from a tabletop exercise that the outgoing Obama administration prepared for the presidents incoming aides to a Crimson Contagion scenario that health officials undertook just last year and modeled out potential risks of a global infectious disease threat. Trumps deputies also have said that their coronavirus response relies on a federal playbook, specifically referring to a strategy laid out by the Centers for Disease Control.
It is not clear if the administrations failure to follow the NSC playbook was the result of an oversight or a deliberate decision to follow a different course. - Politico
It is clear to me. This is deliberate retribution against what tRump perceives as his enemies; Americans in blue states, whether democrats, liberals, progressives or members of his republican cult45.
Hermit-The-Prog
(33,502 posts)BigmanPigman
(51,643 posts)He is joyous when a Dem or a blue state resident gets ill. He is a true sadist. Some Goodfella needs to pay him a visit.
smirkymonkey
(63,221 posts)I would like to think there is someone from his past that has a score to settle with him.
napi21
(45,806 posts)there's no way he could determine the political preference of the victims and I doubt he'd be willing to sacrifice the votes of possible Pub supporters.
ffr
(22,674 posts)https://www.democraticunderground.com/100213193432
Eyeball_Kid
(7,435 posts)The people who die because of Trump's actions mean nothing to him. They're just pawns. He's going after the governors because they're visible figureheads for the Dem Party who can be mocked by him to the delight of his followers.
Trump will refuse to leave the White House. Watch. I'd say there's an 80% chance that he'll rig the election or do something bombastic to remain in office beyond 2020. If he leaves office, he'll spend the rest of his days in Court, at best. He'll have no quality of life. So remaining in office is his only choice. And he'll do everything to stay in. He must.
BigmanPigman
(51,643 posts)And anything to stay in. This is life or death FOR HIM, not the virus. He is more DANGEROUS now than ever.
uponit7771
(90,367 posts)bullwinkle428
(20,631 posts)We are about 6x the population of the UK, so it's not hard to do the math.
pecosbob
(7,545 posts)Maybe people here will wake up when the Hard Rock Stadium is filled with bodies
blitzen
(4,572 posts)when he was interviewed on MSNBC the other night. Unfortunately, he knows his stuff.
That number would be for the entire cycle, I assume up until there is a vaccine. It will come back in the Fall after subsiding this summer.
Bernardo de La Paz
(49,052 posts)5 1/2 * 3 is about 17 days.
You can track your projections against this model, where "The projections assume the continuation of strong social distancing measures and other protective measures."
https://covid19.healthdata.org/projections
They project peaks in mid April and 81,000 deaths by August.
ffr
(22,674 posts)We need to get the attention of republicans to step aside so we can remove tRump.
I'm 80/20% thinking about quitting my job, for the safety of my family. I have to work for and around republicans who are not taking this or protections seriously.
Bernardo de La Paz
(49,052 posts)Initech
(100,112 posts)Trump shooting someone on 5th Avenue and getting away with it? Trump is going to get an entire city's worth of people killed over petty divisiveness and he'll probably still get away with it. Fuck.
Canoe52
(2,949 posts)BigmanPigman
(51,643 posts)Everyone I know says the same thing out loud now.