General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region Forums5,000 people are confirmed to have CV. We know there are many more
because trump delayed preparing for testing, else he look bad. Like not preparing wouldnt make him look worse. Anyways....
Each infected person on average infects 3 other.
5000x3=15000
15,000x3=45,000
45,000x3=135,000
135,000x3=405,000
405,000x3=1,215,000
1,215,000x3=3,645,000
3,645,000x3=10,935,000
10,935,000x3=32,805,000
32,805,000x3=98,415,000
98,415,000x3=295,245,000
Our country has approx 300 million people.
Ten transmission cycles and our entire country could have the disease. I know this is not perfect math because the pool of immune would continue to increase.
But we are on a precipice and are using social distancing to attain same result of immunity (numbers) not actual immunity.
Lord knows how far along we are on the transmission scale and that is what is freaking the hell out of our public health officials.
Trump is a fucking idiot and mean selfish motherfucker.
dewsgirl
(14,961 posts)expected doubling, have you seen it?
I haven't been able to find it.
boston bean
(36,221 posts)That multiply the infected by 50 to get the real number. I am not sure I believe such a low number.
dewsgirl
(14,961 posts)on his show. There is so much CV coverage and so many maps and charts, it's hard to pin down anything specific like that.