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boston bean

(36,221 posts)
Tue Mar 17, 2020, 06:50 PM Mar 2020

5,000 people are confirmed to have CV. We know there are many more

because trump delayed preparing for testing, else he look bad. Like not preparing wouldn’t make him look worse. Anyways....

Each infected person on average infects 3 other.

5000x3=15000
15,000x3=45,000
45,000x3=135,000
135,000x3=405,000
405,000x3=1,215,000
1,215,000x3=3,645,000
3,645,000x3=10,935,000
10,935,000x3=32,805,000
32,805,000x3=98,415,000
98,415,000x3=295,245,000

Our country has approx 300 million people.

Ten transmission cycles and our entire country could have the disease. I know this is not perfect math because the pool of immune would continue to increase.

But we are on a precipice and are using social distancing to attain same result of immunity (numbers) not actual immunity.

Lord knows how far along we are on the transmission scale and that is what is freaking the hell out of our public health officials.

Trump is a fucking idiot and mean selfish motherfucker.

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5,000 people are confirmed to have CV. We know there are many more (Original Post) boston bean Mar 2020 OP
I have seen one of these with dates we are expected to reach each dewsgirl Mar 2020 #1
Not sure I have seen one with dates. I have read boston bean Mar 2020 #2
I think I saw it on Twitter the night Chris Hayes covered it dewsgirl Mar 2020 #3
Make that 6.2K Maru Kitteh Mar 2020 #4
Just now showing 6,330. Bev54 Mar 2020 #5

dewsgirl

(14,961 posts)
1. I have seen one of these with dates we are expected to reach each
Tue Mar 17, 2020, 06:59 PM
Mar 2020

expected doubling, have you seen it?
I haven't been able to find it.

boston bean

(36,221 posts)
2. Not sure I have seen one with dates. I have read
Tue Mar 17, 2020, 07:02 PM
Mar 2020

That multiply the infected by 50 to get the real number. I am not sure I believe such a low number.

dewsgirl

(14,961 posts)
3. I think I saw it on Twitter the night Chris Hayes covered it
Tue Mar 17, 2020, 07:06 PM
Mar 2020

on his show. There is so much CV coverage and so many maps and charts, it's hard to pin down anything specific like that.

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