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MineralMan

(146,320 posts)
Sun Mar 1, 2020, 12:49 PM Mar 2020

This morning, I started thinking about the death toll of the coronavirus.

It happened while I was paging through the five pages of obituaries in the St. Paul Pioneer Press.

Five pages of photos and stories about people who died of something other than the coronavirus in my own city. That helped put all this in perspective for me.

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This morning, I started thinking about the death toll of the coronavirus. (Original Post) MineralMan Mar 2020 OP
Today's obits Pantagruel Mar 2020 #1
Hmm...that wasn't really my point, though. MineralMan Mar 2020 #5
I read the obits every Sunday. The Velveteen Ocelot Mar 2020 #2
LOL! MineralMan Mar 2020 #4
I've outlived three of 'em 😁 zeusdogmom Mar 2020 #8
Yes, people are pretty silly about it here imo. cwydro Mar 2020 #3
Doesn't take much Falcata Mar 2020 #10
Try this... flotsam Mar 2020 #6
we need to compare it to the death toll of other diseases. demigoddess Mar 2020 #7
But the expert says 2% will die and 30% will contract it. nt Grasswire2 Mar 2020 #9
Which expert? cwydro Mar 2020 #12
Dr. Fauci, in the initial press conference w/Trump. Grasswire2 Mar 2020 #13
of the population of this country. 2 percent die and 30 percent infected. nt Grasswire2 Mar 2020 #14
do you have a link? I just watched the press conference and didn't hear Fauci say that. onenote Mar 2020 #15
I checked the transcript -- it was not in that press conference. Grasswire2 Mar 2020 #16
Not seeing it in the Hopkins report either. onenote Mar 2020 #17
from the report: Grasswire2 Mar 2020 #18
It's the percentage of people likely to get the virus that I'm looking for onenote Mar 2020 #20
Thank You ... Agree . Kathy M Mar 2020 #11
Twice the rate of flu sickness iinm, no one wants to get to sick uponit7771 Mar 2020 #19
 

cwydro

(51,308 posts)
3. Yes, people are pretty silly about it here imo.
Sun Mar 1, 2020, 12:55 PM
Mar 2020

I saw posts where people were “practicing” wearing masks, others were declaring that a person could live on a spoonful of honey, spoonful of flour, and water for some time (as though this would be necessary) others planning hermit-like lives...on and on.

It’s made for amusing reading at any rate.

flotsam

(3,268 posts)
6. Try this...
Sun Mar 1, 2020, 01:37 PM
Mar 2020

If it only infects 20% of the country and only kills 1% that would be 70 million with 700K excess deaths...the problem is between 10-20% will require extensive hospitalization. That equals 7-14 million with a percentage of those requiring respirators and I doubt we have nearly enough hospital beds and heard we have only 75K respirators....That means even at a low infection rate the gozintas are horrible as if you divide even 7 million by 1% and see how those in full respiratory arrest "Goes in to" (divides into) just 75K respirators. How happy are you when every hospital is deciding who lives or dies by unknown parameters? If we escape it is pure luck and if instead projections are correct you will see friends die because US leadership failed...take that to the bank.

demigoddess

(6,642 posts)
7. we need to compare it to the death toll of other diseases.
Sun Mar 1, 2020, 02:29 PM
Mar 2020

It may be that the death toll from this 'horrible coronavirus' is smaller than a lot of other things and they are just scared. Taking measures and developing vaccine isn't bad idea though. Like any new virus it is going to spread widely and kill off a number of people. It is just how many.

Grasswire2

(13,571 posts)
13. Dr. Fauci, in the initial press conference w/Trump.
Sun Mar 1, 2020, 03:40 PM
Mar 2020

That's the point where T. narrowed his eyes and pursed his fat lips.

Grasswire2

(13,571 posts)
16. I checked the transcript -- it was not in that press conference.
Sun Mar 1, 2020, 04:42 PM
Mar 2020

But I know I heard him say it at some point. In any event, the data in this Johns Hopkins report agrees.

[link:https://www.hopkinsguides.com/hopkins/view/Johns_Hopkins_ABX_Guide/540143/all/Coronavirus|

onenote

(42,724 posts)
17. Not seeing it in the Hopkins report either.
Sun Mar 1, 2020, 04:54 PM
Mar 2020

There were 3700 people on board the Diamond Princess. Fewer than 19 percent tested positive for the virus.

Grasswire2

(13,571 posts)
18. from the report:
Sun Mar 1, 2020, 05:01 PM
Mar 2020

"Cause of upper respiratory tract symptoms and pneumonia. Most cases not severe but mortality rate not yet precisely understood but appears to be ? 2%"

I'll keep looking for that quote.

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