KY-Sen: Two Polls Confirm A Toss-Up Race Between Amy McGrath (D) & Moscow Mitch (R)

[riversedge]

steady as she goes.




KY-Sen: Two Polls Confirm A Toss-Up Race Between Amy McGrath (D) & Moscow Mitch (R)

https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2020/2/24/1921639/-KY-Sen-Two-Polls-Confirm-A-Toss-Up-Race-Between-Amy-McGrath-D-Moscow-Mitch-R?utm_campaign=trending

Monday February 24, 2020 · 11:03 AM CST


Here’s some good news today out of Kentucky courtesy of Amy McGrath’s (D. KY) U.S. Senate campaign:

Two statewide polls conducted last month show the U.S. Senate race in Kentucky is winnable for former Marine combat pilot Amy McGrath against Majority Leader Mitch McConnell.

In January, Garin-Hart-Yang conducted a live telephone survey among a representative sample of 802 likely voters (margin of error +3.5%), and Change Research conducted an online survey the following week among 1,281 likely voters (margin of error +2.8%).

Both polls show a strong dissatisfaction with Sen. Mitch McConnell and his vulnerability to Amy McGrath’s candidacy, and highlight a very competitive Senate race, with McGrath and McConnell tied in the Change Research poll and McConnell only up by 3% in the Garin-Hart-Yang poll, well within the margin of error.

Here’s the breakdown:

Garin-Hart-Yang:

Amy McGrath (D) 40%

Mitch McConnell (R) 43%

Brad Barron (L) 5%

Undecided (12%)

Change Research

Amy McGrath (D) 41%

Mitch McConnell (R) 41%

Brad Barron (L). 7%

Undecided 11%

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A record number of Kentucky residents are registered to vote as of Jan. 31, Secretary of State Michael Adams (R) announced on Tuesday.

More than 3.4 million Kentuckians are now registered, marking a new high for the state.

................................
In 2019, Kentucky voters ousted Republican Matt Bevin from the governor's mansion, voting for Democrat Andy Beshear. In one of his first acts as governor, Beshear signed an executive order restoring the voting rights to roughly 100,000 nonviolent felons in the state.

[Reader Rabbit]

1. Fantastic news!

But as a confirmed pessimist (and Cubs fan), I want to avoid jinxing anything.

[msongs]

2. mcgrath has to win her primary first, does she not nt

[Big Blue Marble]

5. Hopefully, numbers like these

will make her an easy winner in the primary if Democrats are smart.

[gratuitous]

3. It's going to take a Herculean effort to push this across the finish line, but it is doable

Getting rid of a long-serving Senator is a big job, even when you're talking about such a known quantity as Mitch McConnell. Kentuckians are comfortable with McConnell and even if they don't like some (or even all) of the things he does, there's a certain cachet to have the Senate Majority Leader. Prying his festering carcass out of that seat won't be easy, but it is doable.

The surge in voter registrations has to be heartening, and I hope that Kentucky Democrats set about their task with a good will and light hearts.

[RhodeIslandOne]

4. Ugh. A Libertarian in the race

Will probably fuck it up.

[Marcuse]

6. Maybe not. He's pro gun and anti choice.

[deurbano]

8. That could help!

[Amaryllis]

7. Does KY use voting machines or paper? ANyone know how clean their elections are?

[MRDAWG]

9. Here in Georgia we have been disappointed with toss ups so many times. Go get

fired up KY.

[SKKY]

10. Like the Governor's race, this will be all about turn out...

When Bevin won, 975k votes were cast. For the last race, 1.4 million. We get those numbers and we have a real chance. I’m hopeful if not particularly optimistic.

[WhiskeyGrinder]

11. Is she still running as a pro-Trump Democrat?

[Squinch]

12. If she gets rid of Moscow Mitch, do you care?

We get a Democrat who is a Freshman Senator who may vote with Republicans at times. Or even often.

We get rid of MOSCOW FUCKING MITCH! The power behind Filthy Donnie's throne!

I think if she announced she was a serial killer, I'd STILL send her money.

[kentuck]

13. I am curious as to how Bernie Sanders might do in KY?

I think he might beat all other Democrats and give Trump a run for his money?