Chinese Coronavirus Cases Rise to More Than 11,700

[left-of-center2012]

China said the number of coronavirus cases topped 11,700 and the U.S. declared a public health emergency in response to the outbreak.

The Trump administration ordered citizens returning from the Hubei province at the center of the outbreak be quarantined for as long as 14 days. Flights to the U.S. from China will be restricted to seven airports. U.S. carriers have already significantly cut travel to and from the country. Foreign nationals who have been in China recently will be denied entry to the U.S.

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention confirmed the U.S. has seven cases, most recently in California. Spain reported its first confirmed case.

Key Developments:
China recorded 2,102 new cases for Jan. 31, with 268 new severe cases. There have been 259 deaths so far.
U.S. escalates response with entry limits, cuts in flights
At least two-thirds of China’s economy to stay shut next week

Read more: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-01-31/u-s-to-quarantine-americans-returning-from-hubei-virus-update?srnd=premium

[alittlelark]

1. WoW - that# shot up fast !!

[Duncan Grant]

2. Today's CDC teleconference: "First time in 50 years...quarantine order".

“This is the first time in over 50 years that CDC has issued a quarantine order. While we understand this action may seem drastic, our goal today, tomorrow, and always continues to be the safety of the American public. We would rather be remembered for overreacting than underreacting. I want to reiterate that everyone does have a role to play as we work together to contain the spread of this virus. Stay informed. CDC is updating its website daily with the latest information and advice for the public. Remember to take everyday preventive actions that are always recommended to prevent the spread of respiratory viruses. We do not currently recommend the use of face masks for the general American public. This virus is not spreading in your communities.”

Transcript for CDC Media Telebriefing: Update on 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV)

[Hekate]

3. Exponential

[Blue_true]

5. Actually it is not.

Last edited Sat Feb 1, 2020, 02:18 AM - Edit history (1)

There is a pretty big statistical difference between a steep line growth and exponential growth. You should not confuse the two, they are different beasts.

On an equivalent basis, the flu strains affecting the USA would sickened at least 500,000 people among the 50 million that are isolated in China. The flu rate is much closer to being exponential since it infects around 15,000 people PER day (a substantial change in Y value for a small change in the X value - a logrithmic chart would be required to linerize the relationship, the marker for an exponential relationship between two pieces of data).

[Delphinus]

6. Good explanation

I remember watching Professor Al Bartlett from a Colorado university (Boulder, perhaps?) and being fascinated by his teaching of exponential growth.

[Blue_true]

7. Thanks.

I can see why people are afraid of Wuhan Coronavirus, it is something new and still relatively unknown. But there is something that is much more hazardous to them among them now, when I debate people that is the message.

My state of Florida for the flu so far is in the low risk category of states, our infection rate, for some reason, is lower than all states not in that category. Florida Men and Florida Women send the rest of y'all our condolences.

[Blue_true]

4. Zero deaths in a developed country that isn't China. nt