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Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin

(107,996 posts)
Fri Jan 31, 2020, 09:34 PM Jan 2020

Friday's massive sell-off ruins January barometer market signal

The stock sell-off deepened on the last day of January on concerns that the deadly coronavirus will disrupt the global economy and in the process, ruining an old market indicator that was signaling a positive year.

As goes January, so goes the year: This Wall Street saying from the widely watched "January barometer" suggests a correlation between January's performance and full-year returns.

Going back to 1950, when the S&P 500 was positive in January, 86% of the time the full year turned out to be up with only ten major errors through 2019, according to Stock Trader's Almanac who identified the seasonal signal.

The track record is even better in presidential election years. Since 1928, when January is up in an election year, the year is up 100% of the time with an average S&P 500 return of 16.6%, according to Bank of America.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/markets/fridays-massive-sell-off-ruins-january-barometer-market-signal/ar-BBZwtBt?li=BBnb7Kz

5 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Friday's massive sell-off ruins January barometer market signal (Original Post) Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin Jan 2020 OP
I really don't want my little retirement nest egg to go kablooey leftieNanner Jan 2020 #1
What was the rationale for the drop, did someone pass gas on the trading floor? Blue_true Jan 2020 #2
The Coronavirus will mess up the economy. lunatica Jan 2020 #3
Not one person that showed up in a country that has a first rate Blue_true Jan 2020 #4
They really think we're stupid lunatica Jan 2020 #5

leftieNanner

(15,105 posts)
1. I really don't want my little retirement nest egg to go kablooey
Fri Jan 31, 2020, 09:40 PM
Jan 2020

But if it means that Trump is dumped in November, I'll make it work.

Blue_true

(31,261 posts)
2. What was the rationale for the drop, did someone pass gas on the trading floor?
Fri Jan 31, 2020, 10:35 PM
Jan 2020

It all seems so contrived at this point, any little thing swing the market.

Blue_true

(31,261 posts)
4. Not one person that showed up in a country that has a first rate
Fri Jan 31, 2020, 10:44 PM
Jan 2020

healthcare system has died.

You know what is going to kills the economy this year? The Orange Butt virus that is squatting in our White House.

lunatica

(53,410 posts)
5. They really think we're stupid
Fri Jan 31, 2020, 11:00 PM
Jan 2020

Trump is on trial in the US and Brexit went into effect today which will play havoc financially, but they’re telling us it was the Coronavirus.

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