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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsAndrew McCabe: If you think Iran is done retaliating, think again
https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2020/01/09/andrew-mccabe-oped-iran-soleimani/
By Andrew McCabe
Jan. 9, 2020 at 4:17 p.m. EST.
I am glad Qasem Soleimani is dead.
Irans measured response to the generals killing has many people believing the worst of this crisis has passed. Should we be relieved? By limiting its response to U.S. military targets, Iran sent a powerful message to its own people that Soleimanis killing would not go unavenged. Tehran managed to accomplish this without escalating a military conflict with the United States.
However, U.S. intelligence and law enforcement officials would be well-advised to remember that Irans most provocative actions have often been asymmetric attacks conducted through proxy forces and terrorist elements. It is those deniable, civilian-focused attacks we should be looking for as this situation unfolds. As a counterterrorism leader for the FBI, it was my job to figure out how events abroad would impact us here. And I am afraid the saga of Soleimani is far from over.
For many years, it was the prevailing opinion of most Iran watchers that staging an attack inside the United States was a red line that Iran dared not cross. We assumed Tehrans well-founded fear of an overwhelming U.S. response was enough to keep its terrorist plots focused on less capable adversaries.
In 2011, those assumptions were shattered. With the help of an outstanding Drug Enforcement Administration source, the FBI learned that members of the elite Quds Force (then headed by Soleimani), conspired with a dual U.S./Iranian citizen named Mansour Arbabsiar to assassinate Saudi Arabias ambassador to the United States. Directing and funding the plot from Iran, Quds Force operatives instructed Arbabsiar to murder the ambassador by setting off a bomb inside a popular Washington restaurant. During a telephone call recorded after Arbabsiars arrest, the Quds Force operatives instructed him to just do it quickly, its late. In 2013, Arbabsiar was sentenced to 25 years in prison for his role in the plot. To this day, his Quds Force handler, Gholam Shakuri, remains an indicted fugitive.
</snip>
By Andrew McCabe
Jan. 9, 2020 at 4:17 p.m. EST.
I am glad Qasem Soleimani is dead.
Irans measured response to the generals killing has many people believing the worst of this crisis has passed. Should we be relieved? By limiting its response to U.S. military targets, Iran sent a powerful message to its own people that Soleimanis killing would not go unavenged. Tehran managed to accomplish this without escalating a military conflict with the United States.
However, U.S. intelligence and law enforcement officials would be well-advised to remember that Irans most provocative actions have often been asymmetric attacks conducted through proxy forces and terrorist elements. It is those deniable, civilian-focused attacks we should be looking for as this situation unfolds. As a counterterrorism leader for the FBI, it was my job to figure out how events abroad would impact us here. And I am afraid the saga of Soleimani is far from over.
For many years, it was the prevailing opinion of most Iran watchers that staging an attack inside the United States was a red line that Iran dared not cross. We assumed Tehrans well-founded fear of an overwhelming U.S. response was enough to keep its terrorist plots focused on less capable adversaries.
In 2011, those assumptions were shattered. With the help of an outstanding Drug Enforcement Administration source, the FBI learned that members of the elite Quds Force (then headed by Soleimani), conspired with a dual U.S./Iranian citizen named Mansour Arbabsiar to assassinate Saudi Arabias ambassador to the United States. Directing and funding the plot from Iran, Quds Force operatives instructed Arbabsiar to murder the ambassador by setting off a bomb inside a popular Washington restaurant. During a telephone call recorded after Arbabsiars arrest, the Quds Force operatives instructed him to just do it quickly, its late. In 2013, Arbabsiar was sentenced to 25 years in prison for his role in the plot. To this day, his Quds Force handler, Gholam Shakuri, remains an indicted fugitive.
</snip>
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Andrew McCabe: If you think Iran is done retaliating, think again (Original Post)
Dennis Donovan
Jan 2020
OP
alittlelark
(18,890 posts)1. The Persians are smart - I think bad things will happen to
tRump properties in the near future.
PJMcK
(22,050 posts)3. I hope bad things happen to Trump properties
I hope bad things happen to Trump and his family, too.
Sorry. Just sayin'.
Skittles
(153,193 posts)2. who the hell thinks Iran is "done"?
seriously
Dennis Donovan
(18,770 posts)4. Trump and his crack NatSec team
...I mean, NatSec team on crack.
maxsolomon
(33,400 posts)5. Trump just set the international standard.
Assassinations of US Officials while in Nation Y by Nation X is A-OK nice and legal, as long as they've "killed hundreds" of Nation X's citizens.
Has to be at least a 100, though!
tinrobot
(10,916 posts)6. Maybe the Iranians can hack/release his taxes
Or find the Moscow p-tape.
For him, that would be worse than an asymmetrical terrorist attack.