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Dennis Donovan

(18,770 posts)
Fri Jan 10, 2020, 08:00 PM Jan 2020

Andrew McCabe: If you think Iran is done retaliating, think again

https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2020/01/09/andrew-mccabe-oped-iran-soleimani/

By Andrew McCabe

Jan. 9, 2020 at 4:17 p.m. EST.

I am glad Qasem Soleimani is dead.

Iran’s measured response to the general’s killing has many people believing the worst of this crisis has passed. Should we be relieved? By limiting its response to U.S. military targets, Iran sent a powerful message to its own people that Soleimani’s killing would not go unavenged. Tehran managed to accomplish this without escalating a military conflict with the United States.

However, U.S. intelligence and law enforcement officials would be well-advised to remember that Iran’s most provocative actions have often been asymmetric attacks conducted through proxy forces and terrorist elements. It is those deniable, civilian-focused attacks we should be looking for as this situation unfolds. As a counterterrorism leader for the FBI, it was my job to figure out how events abroad would impact us here. And I am afraid the saga of Soleimani is far from over.

For many years, it was the prevailing opinion of most Iran watchers that staging an attack inside the United States was a red line that Iran dared not cross. We assumed Tehran’s well-founded fear of an overwhelming U.S. response was enough to keep its terrorist plots focused on less capable adversaries.

In 2011, those assumptions were shattered. With the help of an outstanding Drug Enforcement Administration source, the FBI learned that members of the elite Quds Force (then headed by Soleimani), conspired with a dual U.S./Iranian citizen named Mansour Arbabsiar to assassinate Saudi Arabia’s ambassador to the United States. Directing and funding the plot from Iran, Quds Force operatives instructed Arbabsiar to murder the ambassador by setting off a bomb inside a popular Washington restaurant. During a telephone call recorded after Arbabsiar’s arrest, the Quds Force operatives instructed him to “just do it quickly, it’s late.” In 2013, Arbabsiar was sentenced to 25 years in prison for his role in the plot. To this day, his Quds Force handler, Gholam Shakuri, remains an indicted fugitive.

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Andrew McCabe: If you think Iran is done retaliating, think again (Original Post) Dennis Donovan Jan 2020 OP
The Persians are smart - I think bad things will happen to alittlelark Jan 2020 #1
I hope bad things happen to Trump properties PJMcK Jan 2020 #3
who the hell thinks Iran is "done"? Skittles Jan 2020 #2
Trump and his crack NatSec team Dennis Donovan Jan 2020 #4
Trump just set the international standard. maxsolomon Jan 2020 #5
Maybe the Iranians can hack/release his taxes tinrobot Jan 2020 #6

PJMcK

(22,050 posts)
3. I hope bad things happen to Trump properties
Fri Jan 10, 2020, 08:33 PM
Jan 2020

I hope bad things happen to Trump and his family, too.

Sorry. Just sayin'.

maxsolomon

(33,400 posts)
5. Trump just set the international standard.
Fri Jan 10, 2020, 08:49 PM
Jan 2020

Assassinations of US Officials while in Nation Y by Nation X is A-OK nice and legal, as long as they've "killed hundreds" of Nation X's citizens.

Has to be at least a 100, though!

tinrobot

(10,916 posts)
6. Maybe the Iranians can hack/release his taxes
Fri Jan 10, 2020, 08:56 PM
Jan 2020

Or find the Moscow p-tape.

For him, that would be worse than an asymmetrical terrorist attack.

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