Trump's base of support continues to be much softer than advertised

[babylonsister]

https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2019/12/25/1905326/-Trump-s-base-of-support-continues-to-be-much-softer-than-advertised

Trump's base of support continues to be much softer than advertised
Kerry Eleveld for Daily Kos
Daily Kos Staff
Wednesday December 25, 2019 · 12:00 PM EST


Donald Trump's base of support continues to be much more tenuous than conventional wisdom suggests. While no one knows exactly how impeachment will play next November and what might transpire between now and then, Trump voters are more iffy about him than anyone ever lets on.

In November, I covered polling showing that 65% of Republicans aren't "proud" of Trump and just 58% say they are "excited" about him. Those are some pretty low numbers for someone who supposedly inspires a cult following among the GOP faithful. Following up on that softness comes a December poll from Civiqs testing how sure voters are about their support for Trump. Civiqs laid out six scenarios for respondents: I support President Trump, and there's almost nothing that could change that; I support President Trump right now, but I'm open to changing my mind if things change later; I neither support nor oppose President Trump; I oppose President Trump right now, but I'm open to changing my mind if things change later; I oppose President Trump, and there's almost nothing that could change that; unsure. Here's the results:

Support Trump, won't change: 30%
Support Trump, could change later: 14%
Neither support nor oppose Trump: 3%
Oppose Trump, could change later: 5%
Oppose Trump, won't change: 48%
Unsure: 0%

Two things jump out about those numbers immediately: 1) 14% of Trump supporters are open to changing their mind about him; 2) stalwart opposition to Trump registers nearly 20 points higher than diehard support for him. Additionally, Trump's growth opportunities are minimal since literally 0% are unsure about him and only 8% seem tepidly open to supporting him.

Again, we're still a long way from the election, but polls throughout 2019 have continued to demonstrate just how hardened voter opposition is to Trump. So the next time you see Trump spewing absolutely repulsive things at a raucous rally, just remember that only about a third of the country is 100% committed to his reelection.

[Eliot Rosewater]

1. Support torturing kids as long as they are brown: 44%....sigh

[Demovictory9]

8. yeah

[lunasun]

2. So 52% are potential trump voters with a winning circus and manipulating con days b4 the election ?

All candidates are targets to attack going against trump

Don’t forget the reach of the FBI comey announcement seeding doubt on last minute undecided voters and causing others to stay home unsure
That’s on top of all the voter suppression and other fuckery in 16
That 44% in 2019 sucks
No excuses at this point those voters clearly know trump now and who they are voting for

[Cosmocat]

12. This

I get the point of this excercise, butit does not factor in the evil liberal boogyman cause that is why we are where we are at. And NO one is immune to their bullshit

[Auggie]

3. Okay, but how many 2016 protest voters are ready to support a Dem?

I don’t mean Trump voters. I mean voters who went third party or stayed home. That’s the support Democrats really need.

[SWBTATTReg]

4. rump and all of his cronies can crow to the moon and back, harp about the 'high' level of ...

support that they have, when in reality, they don't. They can't excuse the idiotic behavior of rump, and pretty well given up, and revert back to insults. That tells you a lot, that when they can't back up their ridiculous claims about the democrats doing this or doing that (all false), that they already know they are in trouble.

People are sick and tired of their ignorant attitudes towards everyone and everything that doesn't suit them, which these days seems to be everything and everyone. Pathetic.

Our days are coming...our days are coming indeed when this riffraff will be voted out and the healing will begin.

[andym]

5. I's be much happier if the "oppose Trump. won't change" was at greater than 50%

rather than 48%. It means he could win with a majority.

[Pepsidog]

6. 2 issues-Republicans attack on healthcare and Social Security. These may cut into his support.

[liberal N proud]

7. I must know or be related to all of them

[eggplant]

9. "14% of Trump supporters are open to changing their mind about him" is wrong.

That's 14% of people POLLED support him but are open to changing.

Which, when considering the 30% who flat out support him, that means that nearly 1/3 of Trump supporters are open to changing.

Which is way more than 14%.

[empedocles]

10. Get's down around 30% and trump is gone.

[DeminPennswoods]

11. This tracks pretty closely to the strongly approve

and strongly disapprove components of Trumps's total approve/disapprove rating