TS Dorian - 5.00pm update - pay attention PR, Bahamas, T&C and Florida folks

[malaise]

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?start#contents

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at5+shtml/203926.shtml?cone#contents

This should go through Puerto Rico as a Tropical Storm about 65mph

Word from Barbados, St Lucia and Martinique is that there is plenty rain with Dorian.
They say new models will be out tomorrow - notice it has shifted North so will not affect DR big time. On the other hand it won't face the mountains of DR which means it could strengthen after PR.

[NightWatcher]

1. I'm going shopping tomorrow for my Hurricane Dorian Party here in Jax

Looks like Dorian wants to go to Daytona Beach for Labor Day and I'll be hosting for family.


Time to watch the Weather Channel and see if Cantore comes to town.

[mcar]

2. Puerto Rico

[malaise]

3. Puerto Rico and Dominica

Neither can handle another major hurricane.
The good news is this one will be manageable.

[mcar]

5. And, honestly, FL is just saturated

I am concerned about flooding this weekend.

[Claritie Pixie]

4. Thank you for keeping us informed!

I'm meditating on rain in the Amazon, and Dorian being a minor event for all in its path.

[malaise]

15. I'd pay money for a slow moving tropical depression to sit over Jamaica for four days.

We will soon run out of water

[smirkymonkey]

6. I really hope PR and the islands are spared.

In fact, I hope everyone is spared except for the Trump Doral in Miami and all Republican voters in Dorian's path.

Sorry, I know that's evil. I don't want them to die or anything, I just want them to see how little the republicans are going to do for them when they lose everything.

[malaise]

7. If you can guarantee that the good people who live near his properties

will be spared, I'd will all hurricanes in his direction.

[Scurrilous]

8. Fingers crossed in Miami!

[malaise]

10. Looks like Miami won't get a direct hit but since Dorian

will miss the Dominican Republic, it will strengthen big time and come into Florida much higher up on the east coast.
This is not good news for Florida.

[Wiseman32218]

9. Thanks Malaise

The weather folks here have it totally covered!!! We are on the watch out!!!

[nitpicker]

11. St Croix in the crosshairs (5 am 28 Aug)

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT5+shtml/280848.shtml?

Tropical Storm Dorian Advisory Number 16
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052019
500 AM AST Wed Aug 28 2019

...DORIAN EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IN THE
VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO LATER TODAY...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.8N 63.9W
ABOUT 85 MI...140 KM SE OF ST. CROIX
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

A Hurricane Watch has been issued for Vieques, Culebra, and the
U.S. Virgin Islands.

[malaise]

14. I never thought the Virgin island would even come into play here

This is not good news for Florida - the others will face tropical storm conditions.

[Are_grits_groceries]

12. Watching....

Do not trust these suckers.
Might rain hell or whatever on us.
This just got started. People better be ready for those popup hurricanes that form closer to the coast.

[malaise]

13. Yep - this one is serious