Trump's Worst Poll Number

[DonViejo]

June 18, 2019 at 10:02 am EDT By Taegan Goddard

Aaron Blake: “There is one poll question I keep coming back to when I think about President Trump’s 2020 reelection campaign. It’s the one in which pollsters ask whether people would definitely not vote for him.”

“This is an especially bad number for Trump. National polls generally show a majority of people (51-56 percent) say they wouldn’t — with Fox News polls being the exception. And now a poll also shows that number is remarkably bad for Trump in a surprising place: Texas. The University of Texas/Texas Tribune poll shows 43 percent say they’d never back Trump, and another 7 percent say they’re inclined to vote against him. That’s half the state intending not to vote for a Republican president … in Texas.”

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https://politicalwire.com/2019/06/18/trumps-worst-poll-number/

[Delarage]

1. I hope it's true....

I remember getting my hopes up about Georgia and Arizona in 2016. It will take a massive effort to GOTV--everywhere--to prevent another disaster. We know Putin and his friends will make another run at it and that the GOP is doing nothing to prevent that.

[Lucid Dreamer]

3. ... but you should act like it is NOT true.

Polls like this cannot be trusted when trump metrics are skewed.

Anti-trumpers answer pollsters, but they seem to forget to vote.

Pro-trumpers don't say it out loud, but they still vote.

That may not be exactly true, but you should assume it is.

Getting your hopes up because of poll numbers is FOLLY. [e.g. 2016]

[unblock]

2. the republican formula banks on many of that majority either not voting or not being able to vote

and also, of course, defrauding the rest of the voting population....