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Miles Archer

(18,837 posts)
Thu Apr 25, 2019, 10:57 AM Apr 2019

Poll from March: Trump's approval among registered SWING STATE Pennsylvania voters was only 34%.



https://www.fandm.edu/uploads/files/503040077590675717-f-m-poll-release-march-2019.pdf

https://www.rawstory.com/2019/04/bleeding-hasnt-stopped-new-report-shows-trumps-team-fears-hell-lose-key-swing-state-2020/

But 2018 was a good year for Democrats in the Keystone State.

Gov. Tom Wolf and centrist Sen. Bob Casey, Jr., both Democrats, were reelected last year. Sen. Bernie Sanders aggressively campaigned for John Fetterman, Wolf’s lieutenant governor, in Philadelphia.

On top of that, Pennsylvania Republicans lost three seats in the U.S. House of Representatives, and Democrats flipped 16 seats in the Pennsylvania legislature.

“The bleeding hasn’t stopped since then,” Isenstadt and Otterbein report. “In a special election this month, Democrats won a state Senate seat in a district that Trump carried in 2016. Nationally, it was the first such legislative seat that Democrats flipped this year, prompting grumbling among some Republicans that the state party did not invest enough in turning out voters.”

Further, Trump isn’t faring well in Pennsylvania polls: Isenstadt and Otterbein note that a Franklin & Marshall College poll, released in March, found that Trump’s approval among registered Pennsylvania voters was only 34%.

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Poll from March: Trump's approval among registered SWING STATE Pennsylvania voters was only 34%. (Original Post) Miles Archer Apr 2019 OP
Many people fail to remember how slim Trump's margins were in 2016... Wounded Bear Apr 2019 #1
If he keeps unraveling at his current pace, he'll have NO message outside of his "base." Miles Archer Apr 2019 #2
what is it in Ohio, Michigan, Wisconsin Missouri? beachbum bob Apr 2019 #3

Wounded Bear

(58,681 posts)
1. Many people fail to remember how slim Trump's margins were in 2016...
Thu Apr 25, 2019, 11:03 AM
Apr 2019

He 'won' by less than 100k votes across three traditionally blue states.

With some hard work, we can flip that pretty easily. Looks like PA is trending in the right direction. Was some good progress in MI and WI in '16 IIRC.

We can do this.

Miles Archer

(18,837 posts)
2. If he keeps unraveling at his current pace, he'll have NO message outside of his "base."
Thu Apr 25, 2019, 11:06 AM
Apr 2019

People have already seen their tax returns. They know what the Ryan Ayn Rand Tax Cuts did for them.

Add the Mueller report and ongoing investigations to that, and all we need to do is stand firm on a message that resonates with voters.

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