Why Trump Hasn't Seen A Post-Mueller Boost In The Polls - 538

[Quixote1818]

By Nate Silver

Filed under 2020 Election

The completion of Robert Mueller’s investigation into Russian interference in the 2016 election was widely portrayed as a turning point in Trump’s presidency. But so far it’s had little effect on his approval rating.

As of Monday night, Trump’s approval rating was 42.1 percent and his disapproval rating was 52.8 percent, according to FiveThirtyEight’s approval rating tracker, which is based on data all publicly-available polls. Those numbers are little changed from where they were – 41.9 percent approval and 52.9 percent disapproval – on Saturday, March 23, the day before Attorney General William Barr issued a four-page letter on the Mueller report to Congress. (The Mueller report itself has not yet been released to the public or to Congress, although Barr has pledged to release a redacted version of it by mid-April.)

Snip: Reason No. 1: The Muller report itself hasn’t been released, so voters are reserving judgment.
Let’s start with the obvious. In every poll, overwhelming majorities of the public — typically on the order of 80 percent — think the entire Mueller report should be released for public consumption. Relatedly, most voters don’t think that the four-page letter that Barr published is an adequate substitute: A Washington Post-Schar School poll found that just 28 percent of the public thought Barr had released enough material against 57 percent who thought he hadn’t.

More: https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-end-of-the-mueller-probe-hasnt-been-a-game-changer-for-trump/?ex_cid=538fb&fbclid=IwAR19rnLtiLuGJbACvIuF0ITKhGr8YfDlwbCZ_ckIiLWcLQGj2DxSKHZ8RbE

[rownesheck]

1. Here's the easy answer

and I don't need no fancy mathmateerin' to figure it out... everybody hates that orange fucker.

[boomer_wv]

2. polls

There hasn't been any change in the generic ballot polling either.

[triron]

3. Not post-Mueller, but post Barr!

[uponit7771]

4. +1

[Algernon Moncrieff]

5. I think at this point everybody's minds are made up

Taking it a step further: I think everybody acknowledges he's a crook. You either don't care ("Hey - that's how you get ahead in America" "Clinton was a crook too - so what?" "All politicians are crooks" ) or you care.

But don't confuse these numbers with his chances of reelection Rick Scott had horrible numbers a year out from re-election in Florida - we have to find the right candidate and the right message.