So far no bump for Trump at predictit or predictwise

[DemocratSinceBirth]

https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/3698/Who-will-win-the-2020-US-presidential-election


https://markets.predictwise.com/politics/2020-us-presidential-election


Those gaming markets give him a one in three to two in five chances of re-election. OTOH, a lot of loose talk about it doesn't matter who we nominate because a spinach omelette can beat him. That talk was always foolish and more importantly dangerous

[TwilightZone]

1. Just a guess, but I think this means little in the long run.

I think it means a small bump for Trump in the short term, but I don't think it's a major development where 2020 is concerned. Trump's underwater in the polls in a few states he won in 2016 - and that he desperately needs in 2020 - and I don't think this is going to cause a seismic shift there.

It's going to be about getting the vote out, just like it was before. The trick is keeping people from getting complacent - like what happened in 2016 - and keep them motivated to dump his ass.