Predictwise 2020 Presidential Election

[fleabiscuit]

Last edited Sun Feb 17, 2019, 02:10 AM - Edit history (2)

Update:
Democratic Nomination:

Kamala Harris 24 %

Joe Biden 15 %
Beto O'Rourke 15 %
Amy Klobuchar 8 %
Bernie Sanders 8 %
Sherrod Brown 7 %
Elizabeth Warren 6 %
Kirsten Gillibrand 4 %
Tulsi Gabbard 4 %
Cory Booker 3 %
Pete Buttigieg 2 %
John Hickenlooper 1 %
Julian Castro 1 %

http://markets.predictwise.com/politics/2020-us-presidential-election

Democrats 59 %
Republicans 41 %

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To early to start watching?

Next President by Party:

Democrats
57 %
Republicans
43 %
-----------------------

Democratic Nomination:

Kamala Harris 22 %
Joe Biden 13 %
Beto O'Rourke 9 %
Elizabeth Warren 7 %
Bernie Sanders 7 %
Sherrod Brown 6 %
Amy Klobuchar 5 %
Kirsten Gillibrand 5 %
Tulsi Gabbard 5 %
Hillary Clinton 3 %
Cory Booker 3 %
Julian Castro 2 %
Andrew Cuomo 1 %
John Hickenlooper 1 %

source: https://markets.predictwise.com/politics/2020-us-presidential-election

[Me.]

1. Interesting

Like Kamala, hope Amy rises

[bearsfootball516]

2. Really have my fingers crossed for Kamala.

Probably not a good sign for Castro when you're trailing Hillary, who isn't even running.

[Sherman A1]

3. More of the Horse Race nonsense.

This week She is up until there is a hiccup of some small issue blown way out of proportion in the Breathless 24/7 Cable Noise Infotainment. Next Week He's up and doing well in some obscure poll with 12 people and a cat responding, but Oh Noes, by week end a new face has entered the run and all the oxygen is taken out of the room. Followed by the discovery that as a child the fresh face pushed another kid in the hall way in grammar school so that will take several news cycles between the pharmaceutical ads to discuss. Week 4 She will make a strong speech and return to the top of the polling, but will it be enough to overcome the whispered stories of her 3rd cousin 14 times removed being addicted to Snickers Bars? In the meantime He will get tongue tied during an interview having not had enough sleep and there will be questions of his age and can he really serve? The Fresh Face will suddenly soar to the top on word of a fundraiser far exceeding its goals of $12.47.

Rinse and repeat but be sure to allow time for more ads for drugs we never knew we needed and the anchors hawking their latest books on The Crisis in the Media.

[OhZone]

4. Except the generic trend -

Much too early to mean much.

I would vote for any of them over Trump. Bernie would be the lowest on my list, though.

Oh well.

[fleabiscuit]

5. Yes, I would think much too early too.

It's more of a cause of mine to remember to keep an eye on Predictwise as well as 538.

[OhZone]

6. Absolutely -

They were redeemed in the midterms so I have a little more faith in both again.

[fleabiscuit]

7. Bump: new data.