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Hekate

(90,787 posts)
Wed Jan 23, 2019, 05:48 PM Jan 2019

The unpaid 800,000 almost all have dependents. So let's make it 2,400,000 suffering at minimum.

Please help make the oft-cited 800,000 number more realistic. They're not counting so-called comtractors and they're not counting families.

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The unpaid 800,000 almost all have dependents. So let's make it 2,400,000 suffering at minimum. (Original Post) Hekate Jan 2019 OP
You are so correct, Hekate. sheshe2 Jan 2019 #1
or, ignoring suffering and examining economics Hermit-The-Prog Jan 2019 #2
It is actually much worse than that. Stinky The Clown Jan 2019 #3
I was just reminded that whole categories of low level jobs have been passed along to contractors... Hekate Jan 2019 #4
I can't cite a source, but the ratio of 2.2 contractors to every federal employee is about right. Stinky The Clown Jan 2019 #6
There are, however, some offsetting factors as well FBaggins Jan 2019 #7
I read last year that most Americans don't have even $400 in savings. Living paycheck to paycheck... Hekate Jan 2019 #9
Not to mention the people on SNAP & more. n/t area51 Jan 2019 #5
Important detail peggysue2 Jan 2019 #8

sheshe2

(83,882 posts)
1. You are so correct, Hekate.
Wed Jan 23, 2019, 05:56 PM
Jan 2019

Add the children and babies to those numbers. I saw one interview where the mom spoke and said she is rationing her children's Asthma Medication. So now he is killing Americans, must be bored with incarcerating black and brown immigrant babies. Guess the bastard needs to up his quotas.

Hermit-The-Prog

(33,413 posts)
2. or, ignoring suffering and examining economics
Wed Jan 23, 2019, 06:02 PM
Jan 2019

How many vendors and lenders does each worker deal with in each pay period? Housing, commute expenses, food, education, loan servicing, clothing, etc.

The 800,000 paychecks touch a lot more people than just the ones who are missing them. The ripples are going to touch several millions.

Stinky The Clown

(67,818 posts)
3. It is actually much worse than that.
Wed Jan 23, 2019, 06:10 PM
Jan 2019

Let's use an average of 2.2 contractors for each government worker. Let's say that is 1.8M. Then using your 3:1 dependent ratio, that would be an additional 5.4M. That brings the total number of victims - to date - to 7.8M As time goes on, even more contractors will see hard times. Add to that people who are already affected by the inability to do something because of no government services (for example, see breweries needing federal label approvals for new seasonal beer) and the number goes up in a way that we can't even calculate right now.

Anyway, I think it is safe to assume there are *at least* 10 million victims so far.

Hekate

(90,787 posts)
4. I was just reminded that whole categories of low level jobs have been passed along to contractors...
Wed Jan 23, 2019, 06:22 PM
Jan 2019

Janitors and the like. I have absolutely no idea how many that is except it's a lot.

Damn Trump and all his ilk.

Stinky The Clown

(67,818 posts)
6. I can't cite a source, but the ratio of 2.2 contractors to every federal employee is about right.
Wed Jan 23, 2019, 08:30 PM
Jan 2019

I read it at a reliable source linked here on DU. The number was higher than I imagined, but not surprisingly so.

FBaggins

(26,757 posts)
7. There are, however, some offsetting factors as well
Thu Jan 24, 2019, 01:06 PM
Jan 2019

Most contractors work for medium-to-large corporations that won't miss payroll or lay people off due to a few weeks without getting paid.

Similarly... a not-insignificant portion of even the 800k should avoid too much pain in the first couple months. Prior history tells them that when the shutdown ends, they'll get all of their missing pay. Most of us would feel pain at putting a few thousand dollars in living expenses onto a credit card or home equity line... but if we knew for certain that a month or two from now we would get all of the lost money back? That's not necessarily a big deal.

Hekate

(90,787 posts)
9. I read last year that most Americans don't have even $400 in savings. Living paycheck to paycheck...
Thu Jan 24, 2019, 01:59 PM
Jan 2019

...is a way of life. Credit cards are maxed out. Medical expenses are the leading cause of bankruptcy in this country. Mortgages are bundled and sold overseas -- there is no local banker who gives a shit about you or your local town any more.

These are our fellow Americans and they are scrambling for a food bank right now, but that won't help them with the cost of medications or their rent/mortgage. Their babysitter can't wait -- she has her own bills.

Civil servants have a career ladder and benefits, but salaries are not magnificent. The jobs are supposed to have security and some benefits -- and my experience is that most civil servants, whether city, county, state, or federal -- all have some sense of mission about serving a greater cause that gives them pride in the work they do. Trump and the GOP have just robbed these people of that and everything else.



peggysue2

(10,839 posts)
8. Important detail
Thu Jan 24, 2019, 01:17 PM
Jan 2019

I think you're absolutely correct with the appeal to underscore the ripple effects of the shutdown and the month-long forfeiture of salary. The 800,000 have families, as do the contractors and other ancillary business/labor that is dependent on/providing services to our Federal employees.

I've read the number of individuals actually affected is more in the 4+ million range.

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