Analysis: Inside the GOP's California nightmare

[Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin]

Rep. Steve Knight’s (R-Calif.) campaign went into election night thinking another tough victory was at hand.

Knight grinded out a win in 2016, in a district President Donald Trump lost, despite relentless Democratic attacks linking Knight and his party’s leader. But Democrat Katie Hill swept him out of Congress by more than 8 percentage points in 2018.

“We never had any indication, any poll, that we’d see anything close to the margin we got,” said Matt Rexroad, a Republican consultant who worked on Knight’s race.

It was one of several nasty midterm shocks for California Republicans: Internal polling described to POLITICO showed Knight and Reps. Dana Rohrabacher and Mimi Walters — all of whom lost — narrowly leading their Democratic opponents at the end of the campaign.

Not only did the GOP get crushed in California, the party also got taken by surprise by the intensity of the backlash in the nation’s largest state, where Republicans projected confidence nearly all year before watching Democrats flip a whopping six House districts — and possibly a seventh.

The nightmare results were the end result of a toxic brew of overconfidence and presidential unpopularity, as some Republicans failed to recognize and reckon with the unprecedented negative reaction to President Donald Trump in districts from Orange County to California’s agriculture-heavy Central Valley.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/analysis-inside-the-gops-california-nightmare/ar-BBQkRQ8?li=BBnb7Kz

[brokephibroke]

1. I believe the tax increase they all voted for did them in

Capping SALT and mortgage deductions was BS and they paid.

[Merlot]

3. The SALT deductions would hit especially hard in some parts of OC

Even republicans had to admit that the republican tax cuts hurt them.

[Snackshack]

2. Poll's

“We never had any indication, any poll, that we’d see anything close to the margin we got,”

Political consultants are going to have to come up with a new method to find value added information to consult candidates with. 2016 showed that polling information can be very unreliable...even completely wrong.

[Zambero]

6. Change "margin" to ass-whooping

Yes, that a more apt description! Heavy-to-Hillary California was punitively targeted in Trump's tax bill, eliminating SALT deductions and boosting federal taxes. GOP reps in the state were ineffective at stopping it. Even (formerly) red Orange County wasn't going to take that lying down.

[Garrett78]

4. "some Republicans failed to recognize and reckon with the unprecedented negative reaction to" Trump

I guess his net approval rating of -24 (36/60) here in California, as of October, didn't quite register with those idiots.

[jaysunb]

5. Summation

1) We Californians don't like Republican ideas or values.

2) There are more of us than them.

3) We win when we get out the vote.

4) We really really don't like Trump.

Now, wasn't that easy ?

[wasupaloopa]

7. Also we like our polititions

Nancy Pelosi
Kamala Harris
Jerry Brown
Dianne Feinstei

[SunSeeker]

8. 5) And we count ALL the votes!

Amazing what happens when you let people vote, then count all the votes.

[jaysunb]

9. +1 n/t