Republicans fear loss of House majority

[Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin]

Republicans are bracing for the possibility that their House majority will be vanquished on Election Day as more and more GOP seats look vulnerable in the campaign’s final stretch.

The party believes it has a chance to retain its majority because many of the districts it is defending were drawn up to protect Republicans from a blue wave.

At the same time, Republican leaders recognize the numbers they are dealing with.

Democrats need to gain just 23 seats to win the House majority, and the party is favored by the nonpartisan Cook Political Report to flip 18 GOP seats. Another 29 Republican-held seats are considered toss-ups.

The number of Democratic seats that are toss-ups or where Republicans are favored, according to Cook, can be counted on three fingers.

An additional 28 Republican seats are rated as “lean Republican,” pointing to the potential for an even bigger wave if things really go well for the opposition party.

“Tomorrow is probably going to be pretty unpleasant for Republicans,” said GOP strategist Liz Mair. “It’s going to be tough for them to win the House. The overwhelming likelihood is that Democrats retake it.

https://thehill.com/homenews/house/415089-republicans-fear-loss-of-house-majority

[ck4829]

1. The myth of the "toss up"

I remember reading that if we get the likely elections and the lean elections, then we'll get most or even all of the toss-ups too. It's what's happened in previous midterms.

[unblock]

2. republican insiders largely gave up on keeping the house months ago.

they realized their money and time and effort could be spent far more effectively trying to hold on to the senate.