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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsThe 10 Most Vulnerable House Incumbents on Election Day
Heading into Election Day, Republicans once again occupy all 10 spots of Roll Calls list of most vulnerable House incumbents, but for the first time this cycle, Iowa Rep. Rod Blum is not leading the pack.
While President Donald Trump won Blums 1st District in 2016, operatives from both parties have consistently identified the two-term congressman as the incumbent most likely to lose this cycle until the past month.
Blums race has tightened of late, with outside groups on both sides re-engaging. Democrats and Republicans agree that a handful of GOP incumbents in tougher districts are now in more trouble than him. That begins with Pennsylvania Rep. Keith Rothfus, who tops the list, followed by three Republicans in districts that backed Hillary Clinton in 2016.
The rankings are based on conversations with strategists from both sides of the aisle, polling, and the race ratings from Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales. We look solely at vulnerable incumbents and do not include open seats that are likely to flip.
1. Keith Rothfus, R-Pa.
2. Mike Coffman, R-Colo.
3. Kevin Yoder, R-Kan.
4. Barbara Comstock, R-Va.
5. Rod Blum, R-Iowa
6. Erik Paulsen, R-Minn.
7. Jason Lewis, R-Minn.
8. John J. Faso, R-N.Y.
9. Bruce Poliquin, R-Maine
10. Claudia Tenney, R-N.Y.
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/the-10-most-vulnerable-house-incumbents-on-election-day/ar-BBPmhE3?li=BBnb4R7
Explanations at the link
Blue_true
(31,261 posts)FakeNoose
(32,748 posts)tinrobot
(10,916 posts)Good sign of where things are trending.
VOTE!
Just a Weirdo
(488 posts)He showed up at the Community Solidarity in Denver after the Pittsburgh shooting and didn't even stand up and applause when it came to gun control and voting.
Every Jewish person there knows Coffman's a dick and finished this year.
marylandblue
(12,344 posts)It fell completely over. The demographics have changed a lot and Trump is hated in suburban DC. She's toast.
FSogol
(45,526 posts)Comstock has been avoiding the media and even refused to talk to Scholastic News Kids Press Corps Reporters.
http://bluevirginia.us/2018/11/comstock-ending-campaign-running-from-non-cultoftrump-reporters
2naSalit
(86,776 posts)for our state ousted like the body slam he used on that reporter! F'ing Assbite. It could happen.