N.J.'s Congressional Delegation Is Going To Tilt Hard.....

[Laxman]

to the Democrats. After decades of nearly an even split (it was 6-6 up until the last election and is now 7-5 for the Democrats) the balance of Congressional representation in the state is going to shift radically. Two Republican vacancies- Freylinghuysen's old seat (11th) & LoBiando's old seat (1st) are flipping to democratic and now it looks like incumbent Leonard Lance (7th) is going down too. Looks like the delegation will be 10-2 democrats with only Chris Smith and that cretin Tom MacArthur holding on.

Trump is hurting longtime N.J. Republican Leonard Lance's chance to win. That's what a new poll shows.

Voter opposition to Donald Trump has allowed Democratic challenger Tom Malinowski to maintain a narrow lead over Rep. Leonard Lance in the congressional district where the president spends his summer vacation.

Malinowski, a former assistant U.S. secretary of state, led Lance, R-7th Dist., 47 percent to 44 percent among likely voters in a Monmouth University Poll released Wednesday. The margin was well within the survey's margin of error of 7.3 percentage points.

Last month, Malinowski held a similar 3-point advantage among likely voters over Lance, 46 percent to 43 percent, in one of only 23 congressional districts with a Republican representative that supported Hillary Clinton for president.

"The choice for voters in this district seems to fall along the lines of whether they like their congressman more or dislike the president more," said Patrick Murray, director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute.

https://www.nj.com/politics/index.ssf/2018/10/trump_is_weighing_down_this_nj_lawmaker_who_repres.html

[Crutchez_CuiBono]

1. Hopefully they aren't swayed by the gop to rest on their laurels,

and they get fricken busy VERY quick. We have a shit-ton of work to do. Blinders on, fingers in ears, and start rolling back the gop disaster they've made.

[Dread Pirate Roberts]

2. The 7th is my district and I agree that Lance is going down!

You can just feel it and sense it from the number of Malinowski signs that are in hard core republican areas of this district, not just along the road side, but on people's lawns. This has been a lonely place for a democrat, it's really hard core republican. I saw a friend this afternoon who told me she had changed her affiliation from R to unaffiliated and was voting straight democrat for the first time in her life. She had stayed republican so she could vote in local elections (the primary is usually the only place you have a choice around here) but she couldn't take it anymore. Change is most definitely in the air.

[crazycatlady]

3. Oh how I wish Chris Smith would go

I live in his district and he does not listen to his constituents.

[Laxman]

4. It's The Three "R's" In The Two Remaining Republican....

districts. Retirees, rednecks and rich people. The military bases, all the "Leisure Village" people, the wealthy areas of Monmouth County, the Pineys- Smith and MacArthur are the only two left who can rely on the makeup of their district. That's amazing because the 7th & the 11th were the old blue-blood republican districts that seemed like they would be forever in the "R" column. Smith's been in since Frank Thompson got caught up in Abscam and MacArthur used to live in the 11th district. I think when the actuarial tables catch up with their core constituents these two districts might flip too.