Democrats Open Up Wide Lead on Generic Ballot

[applegrove]

Democrats Open Up Wide Lead on Generic Ballot

October 29, 2018 at 2:48 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard

https://politicalwire.com/2018/10/29/democrats-open-up-wide-lead-on-generic-ballot/

"SNIP....

A new USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times poll finds Democrats leading Republicans in the generic congressional ballot by a stunning 17-points, 57% to 40% among likely voters.

“That’s a notable increase in Democratic support from the previous week, when the poll found Democrats with a 13-point advantage. The increase, which stemmed from small shifts among several groups of voters, may partly reflect timing. The final two days of the poll coincided with the arrest on Friday of a Florida man on charges of sending explosive devices to prominent Democrats and critics of President Trump, and the killing on Saturday of 11 people at a synagogue in Pittsburgh.”

....SNIP"

[libdem4life]

1. Fingers crossed ...... n/t

[beachbum bob]

2. Outlier poll, but still better ahead than not

[EffieBlack]

3. That's nice

Means nothing.

[NurseJackie]

4. Agreed! Nobody actually votes for generic candidates.

[SWBTATTReg]

5. rump isn't helping w/ his

rhetoric and hypocrisy, and just plain hatefulness. His followers, encouraged by rump's rhetoric and hate, is a lot to blame for this too.

[Scurrilous]

6. K&R

[kurtcagle]

7. Generic Candidate Poll

The generic candidate poll is actually a surprisingly good indicator of election sentiment, especially given that this particular election is largely a referendum on Trump. Of course, this also assumes that you believe (as I do) that statistics are usually pretty accurate and that they reflect a fair and unbiased election. I still contend that the fact that so many polls were off in the same direction an indication not so much that the mathematics of statistics was mysteriously wrong in 2016 but that we were witnessing an election being stolen in real time. It's why GOTV is so important than this time around - if the Blue Wave fails mysteriously to materialize given where all of the polls are setting, then we are clearly outside the boundaries of a constitutional democracy, and then a whole bunch of otherwise unthinkable options have to be put on the table.

[Takket]

8. I hope it means undecideds are starting to break left

[rufus dog]

9. Great news, it appears the late breaking is heavy Dem

I believe this same poll was one of those that showed an EXTREMELY tight race in 2016.

[vercetti2021]

10. I think it'll only get bigger

Trump is going to shoot himself in the foot going to PA. 20% lead by next Tuesday.