Trump's Approval Rating Is Up. Republican House Chances Are Down. Does That Make Any Sense?

[Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin]

Just in time for the Nov. 6 election, President Trump is posting some of the best job approval numbers of his presidency. His approval rating is currently 43.1 percent, according to the FiveThirtyEight average, the highest it’s been since March 2017. His disapproval rating is 52.0 percent, so let’s not get too carried away — the president is still unpopular. But his numbers are moving in the right direction.

Republicans have been moving in the wrong direction in our House model, however. The three different versions of our model — Lite, Classic and Deluxe — each show slightly different results, but they all have Republicans at or near their all-time lows. GOP chances of retaining control of the House are down to 14 percent (about 1 chance in 7) in the Classic model, our default version. The Lite version, which is based on polls alone and doesn’t account for factors like fundraising, is slightly less bearish, putting Republican chances at 21 percent (about 2 in 9). But that’s still as low as they’ve been all cycle.

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/trumps-approval-rating-is-up-republican-house-chances-are-down-does-that-make-any-sense/

Only in MAGAt world can a 43.1% approval rating be considered winning.

[dewsgirl]

1. This is so dishearting.

[marble falls]

6. No it doesn't. The difference between one and two is a 100% increase ...

don't get depressed or mad, get even. Go find one person who isn't voting and take them to vote with you. Increase the value of your vote by 100%.

Vote.

[dewsgirl]

10. Thank you. I try to stay positive, I just can't believe

So many of our fellow Americans are so awful.

[marble falls]

11. Some of us are but we can not allow them power beyond their true number to ...

demoralize us. We are fighting a good fight. Do not let them steal your joy.

[Rizen]

12. I know

I used to think white nationalists were a small percentage of the country. But since Trump IMO it's like 30-40%. The sane people must work together to fight this.

[DeminPennswoods]

2. Approval equals strong approve and somewhat approve

I've seen data from other recent polls and strong approval is basically half of strong disapproval.

[Iliyah]

3. Nope, it's down.

[elleng]

4. I saw somewhere today that his ratings were DOWN, somewhere in the 30's.

IGNORE them ALL.

[bdamomma]

8. I thought I

read somewhere here on another thread his approval rating is low.

[elleng]

9. Yes.

[Zambero]

5. Stay tuned. It will be dropping.

Trump's reckless rhetoric will be his undoing. Republicans must be extremely nervous right about now.

[ooky]

7. I predict we will start to see a decline in his approval rating next year

around tax time as more people start to realize his "tax cuts" were a scam.

[elocs]

13. I just checked 538 and it shows his approval rating at 42.4%

and that's up a bit but certainly nothing to brag about.

[Blue_true]

14. Don't worry about any of that.

VOTE AND GET EVERYONE YOU KNOW IR CAN CONVINCE TO VOTE.

[flotsam]

15. Down 3 points Friday

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/413275-trumps-job-approval-rating-dips