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** Poll Finds Democrats Hold Lead Over Republicans in Key Battleground Districts**
Baton Rouge, LA – Democrats hold a lead over Republicans in battleground districts that will decide control of the U.S. House of Representatives, according to a new exhaustive national survey conducted by The Cook Political Report and LSU’s Manship School of Mass Communication in collaboration with Manship School Fellow James Carville. The poll shows Democrats lead Republicans 48 percent to 36 percent among registered voters in the 72 most competitive districts, as rated by the Cook Political Report.
TRUMP WEIGHING DOWN REPUBLICAN PROSPECTS IN HOUSE
The poll also shows that President Trump is weighing down Republican prospects in the battle for the House. Nearly two-thirds of voters say that President Trump will be a factor in how they vote in the midterm elections, and in competitive districts far more of these voters said they are casting ballots to show opposition to the President (42 percent) than to show support for the President (23 percent).
2018 SIMILAR TO 2010 – IN REVERSE
Results from the poll underscore the similarities between now and the 2010 election season, but in reverse. Today, 49 percent of Americans feel frustrated about Donald Trump’s presidency – the same share that said they felt frustrated about Barack Obama’s presidency during the first round of midterm elections in his administration. However, the partisanship of voters expressing frustration has flipped. Eight years ago, these were overwhelmingly Republicans. Today they are overwhelmingly Democrats. A similar pattern is apparent among those feeling “angry,” “proud” or “hopeful” about the presidency.
AMERICANS CONFIDENT IN ELECTION INTEGRITY, BUT DIFFERS BY MEDIA USE AND PARTY
Americans are also confident about the integrity of elections overall, with 77 percent reporting that they are at least somewhat confident that their votes will be counted accurately. This is especially true among those who prefer to get their news from a print newspaper, 54 percent of whom say they are very confident their votes will be counted accurately. The share is 20 to 25 points lower among those who chiefly rely on websites, smartphone apps or social networking sites for their news. Democrats are more likely to say foreign interference poses a greater threat to the integrity of our elections (64 percent say it is likely or very likely) than voter fraud (38 percent say it happens somewhat often or very often); whereas Republicans were more likely to say voter fraud poses a bigger threat (52 percent say it happens somewhat often or
...
https://www.lsu.edu/manship/news/2018/october/cook_manship_poll_release.php
TRUMP WEIGHING DOWN REPUBLICAN PROSPECTS IN HOUSE
The poll also shows that President Trump is weighing down Republican prospects in the battle for the House. Nearly two-thirds of voters say that President Trump will be a factor in how they vote in the midterm elections, and in competitive districts far more of these voters said they are casting ballots to show opposition to the President (42 percent) than to show support for the President (23 percent).
2018 SIMILAR TO 2010 – IN REVERSE
Results from the poll underscore the similarities between now and the 2010 election season, but in reverse. Today, 49 percent of Americans feel frustrated about Donald Trump’s presidency – the same share that said they felt frustrated about Barack Obama’s presidency during the first round of midterm elections in his administration. However, the partisanship of voters expressing frustration has flipped. Eight years ago, these were overwhelmingly Republicans. Today they are overwhelmingly Democrats. A similar pattern is apparent among those feeling “angry,” “proud” or “hopeful” about the presidency.
AMERICANS CONFIDENT IN ELECTION INTEGRITY, BUT DIFFERS BY MEDIA USE AND PARTY
Americans are also confident about the integrity of elections overall, with 77 percent reporting that they are at least somewhat confident that their votes will be counted accurately. This is especially true among those who prefer to get their news from a print newspaper, 54 percent of whom say they are very confident their votes will be counted accurately. The share is 20 to 25 points lower among those who chiefly rely on websites, smartphone apps or social networking sites for their news. Democrats are more likely to say foreign interference poses a greater threat to the integrity of our elections (64 percent say it is likely or very likely) than voter fraud (38 percent say it happens somewhat often or very often); whereas Republicans were more likely to say voter fraud poses a bigger threat (52 percent say it happens somewhat often or
...
https://www.lsu.edu/manship/news/2018/october/cook_manship_poll_release.php
