General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region Forums**NEW AZ POLL ALERT** Sinema (Democrat) 48% McSally (Repugnant) 40%
As we continue to maintain a high standard in our methodology and transparency, we are proud to announce that we are the newest members of the American Association for Public Opinion Research (AAPOR) Transparency Initiative. According to AAPOR, The Transparency Initiative is an approach to the goal of an open science of survey research by acknowledging those organizations that pledge to practice transparency in their reporting of survey-based research findings. This reflects Data Orbitals mission of providing trusted survey research based on the highest standards.
This survey was modeled on two possible outcomes. One model allows for a Democratic surge, giving Republicans only a 5% ballot advantage compared with their 13% advantage in the last midterms. The other is modeled on an average surge with a 9% Republican ballot advantage.
In the U.S. Senate race, both models shows Congresswoman Kyrsten Sinema with a lead over Congresswoman Martha McSally. In the Democratic surge scenario, Sinema has an 8.1% lead while in an average surge, her lead tightens slightly to 5.4%. Meanwhile, just over 7% of voters remain undecided.
https://www.dataorbital.com/the-blog/new-survey-sinema-leads-mcsally-in-latest-survey
mr_lebowski
(33,643 posts)It's a girl my Lord in a flat-bed Ford ....
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,711 posts)Ten bucks for the Eagles, Jimmy Buffett, and Hall and Oates. -77
Sixteen bucks for the Stones and Van Halen - 81
mr_lebowski
(33,643 posts)Last edited Fri Oct 19, 2018, 01:34 PM - Edit history (2)
I was only 10 or 11 though lol ... Cheap Trick opened ...
Saw the Beach Boys, Linda Ronstadt, Elvin Bishop, and Dolly Parton in '78 too (which was all in one show, one of the legendary Bill Graham's legendary 'Day on The Green' shows at Oakland Coliseum, which I attended about 10 of over the years)
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,711 posts)Acts I have seen
Stones
Clapton
Lynyrd Skynyrd
Jimmy Buffet
B.B. King
Wet Willie
Public Enemy
Van Halen
Paul McCartney
Hall and Oates
mr_lebowski
(33,643 posts)When I saw him, 'Fooled Around and Fell in Love' was the only song I knew ...
I've seen ... quite a few concerts in my day ...
https://www.democraticunderground.com/10345625
Blue_true
(31,261 posts)Wow. That would set you back $400 today.
bearsfootball516
(6,377 posts)I can see Sinema winning, but 8 points...well, I'm not the one who gets paid to do these!
grantcart
(53,061 posts)Hortensis
(58,785 posts)so let's hope that's a special edge here. Their founder is openly conservative with a background in Republican politics.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,711 posts)As we continue to maintain a high standard in our methodology and transparency, we are proud to announce that we are the newest members of the American Association for Public Opinion Research (AAPOR) Transparency Initiative. According to AAPOR, The Transparency Initiative is an approach to the goal of an open science of survey research by acknowledging those organizations that pledge to practice transparency in their reporting of survey-based research findings. This reflects Data Orbitals mission of providing trusted survey research based on the highest standards.
Dawson Leery
(19,348 posts)Dishonorable McSally is accusing Sinema of being a terrorist sympathizer.
Vogon_Glory
(9,127 posts)Not after allied organizations pumped Russian dark money into their war chests and Russian bots pumped up Donnies campaign.
It needs to be asked: how many rubles are funding McSallys campaign?
beachbum bob
(10,437 posts)effect yet to, I am sure to the coming McConnel verbiage cutting Ss, Medicare, Medicaid. That could add easily 4-6 more points to her lead.
Bradshaw3
(7,527 posts)They are tough, true and run all the time. I would say about double what we are seeing from the repug.