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DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
Thu Oct 18, 2018, 11:25 AM Oct 2018

**GARDEN STATE POLL** Menendez (Democrat) 49% Hugin (Big Pharma) 40%




West Long Branch, NJ – Bob Menendez holds a lead of between 9 and 12 points over Bob Hugin in the former’s bid for a third full term in the U.S. Senate, according to the latest Monmouth University Poll. While voters tend to hold a negative view of the Democratic incumbent, most feel that the behavior that led to his recent trial was probably no worse than what most other politicians do. Regardless of how they feel about Menendez, voters say that President Donald Trump is ultimately a bigger factor in their choice for Senate.

Menendez currently holds a 49% to 40% lead over Hugin among likely voters using Monmouth’s standard midterm turnout model. The poll also included Libertarian Murray Sabrin and the Green Party’s Madelyn Hoffman among the list of named candidates. Each receives 1% support while a generic “some other candidate” – there are an additional four names on the ballot – also receives 1%. The remaining 8% of likely voters are undecided.

The largest group of undecided voters is comprised of those from Latino, black, Asian and other non-white backgrounds (17%), with whom the incumbent has a formidable 63%-19% lead otherwise. Menendez also has a slight 48%-45% lead among white voters with a college degree. Hugin actually has the advantage among white voters without a college degree (49%-41%), but this group comprises fewer than 4-in-10 likely voters in New Jersey.

...

https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/monmouthpoll_NJ_101818/


Robert Menendez might be the senator we want but he's the senator we have.
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**GARDEN STATE POLL** Menendez (Democrat) 49% Hugin (Big Pharma) 40% (Original Post) DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2018 OP
Polls seem to be swinging back in our direction RandySF Oct 2018 #1
Almost all good news for us. DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2018 #2
Good news. awesomerwb1 Oct 2018 #3

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
2. Almost all good news for us.
Thu Oct 18, 2018, 11:37 AM
Oct 2018
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/

I didn't post the FL polls because they're old. Sitting on a poll for two and one half weeks makes no sense.
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